2018 Troll Series: Volume 1…..well maybe the only volume

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The 2017 Troll Series happened and it was a beautiful thing and posts were written about just about every team in the league BUT, now it is 2018 and I don’t want that many troll posts.  So the challenge became, how does one devise a troll post that covers every gotdamned team in the league all it once. And the answer was simple:  TROLL WITH TRUTH. These days the harshest league-wide judgment is reserved for declaring a winner of each and every fucking trade that goes through the league office, no matter how insignificant it may be. So in keeping with that theme, I now present to you TOP TEN WORST TRADES OF 2017. Albeit with some rules so each team gets properly roasted.

The Rules:

  • I will be picking each team’s worst individual trade and then ranking those trades from least terrible to most terrible. Ergo every team shall have their worst trade in my humble and correct opinion broadcasted here (as well as some of their dishonorable mentions). Otherwise this might just be 10 morning boner trades and who wants to look at that.
  • For the most part I am trying to avoid hindsight. Hindsight may be 20/20 but so is my foresight.
  • For the most part (FOR THE MOST PART) I will try and avoid prospect trades, unless it is something truly egregious. Because prospects don’t do shit until they actually do shit. Sometimes you can disagree with a team’s valuation of their own prospect (i.e. what they gave the guy up for) but STILL that guy could end up going for a drive in the DR or something and never producing for his new club. Although to cite that sort of thing I would be violating the avoiding hindsight rule above. Alright let’s just get to the thing…

 

BUT BEFORE I DO…… a few potential 2018 Troll Posts that probably never see the light of day cuz I am too lazy to write them:

  • “Why Trevor Story Is Probably Still Overrated”
  • “Preaching How Unbiased You Are Because You Won’t Call An Insane Presidency Insane Doesn’t Make You Advanced, Also Maitan Is A Bust”
  • “Adam Duvall And Jay Bruce Are Basically The Same Person, Both Are Shittier Than Scott Schebler”
  • “It Is Truly Impressive To Roster 2017 Charlie Blackmon and 2017 Aaron Judge And Only Manage A 6 Seed (Barely)”
  • “Shane Shouldn’t Be Allowed To Trade Without League Approval”
  • “Why The 1990-1993 Buffalo Bills Are A Better Team Than The Bad Dudes”

etc. etc. etc.  Okay now onto the “bad trades” “list”:

 

 

NUMBER 10

The Trade:  

T traded Cody Bellinger, LAD 1B to MOON
T traded Scott Kingery, Phi 2B to MOON
T traded Rhys Hoskins, Phi 1B to MOON
MOON traded Nolan Arenado, Col 3B to T

What Went Wrong:  CODY BELLINGER IS LIKE A TOP 10 DYNASTY PLAYER RIGHT NOW AND HOSKINS IS PROBABLY TOP 50 AND RISING AND KINGERY IS GONNA BE A GREAT POWER/SPEED 2B YOU JUST WATCH AND FUCK YOUUUUU ‘TOPES. I didn’t say this was all gonna be super logical. I am sure Nolan will do fine.

Isotopes Dishonorable Mention:  Trading Kimbrel for Gleyber, that felt like a prospect overpay (my prospect rule doesn’t necessarily extend to Dishonorable Mention, also I am sure I am going to break it any moment now). 

 

NUMBER 9

The Trade: 

RRF traded J.T. Realmuto, Mia C to rmac
rmac traded Jackie Bradley Jr., Bos CF to RRF

What Went Wrong:   Rojo gave up the GREAT J.T. Realmuto (our league’s top catcher in 2017 according to ESPN Player Rater) for suckass Jackie Bradley Jr. (24th best CF according to ESPN Player Rater) is WHAT WENT WRONG. I dunno getting the RRF to trade is like fucking pulling teeth it seems.

RRF Dishonorable Mention:  I dunno they traded away Ozzie Albies once, ALBIES IS GREAT NOBODY SHOULD HAVE TRADED HIM.

 

NUMBER 8

The Trade:  

RRF traded Matt Kemp, LAD RF to rmac
RRF traded Yu Darvish, FA SP to rmac
rmac traded George Springer, Hou RF to RRF
rmac traded Yasiel Puig, LAD RF to RRF
rmac traded Rafael Devers, Bos 3B to RRF

What Went Wrong:  This is a tough one because the then-Punchouts-now-Warriors DID get top talent back in Yu Darvish, but they may have finally pushed their Pitching First agenda too far on this one. Springer is a stud Puig remains a useful piece and Devers, despite being a filthy Red Sawk, projects to be a well above average fantasy asset as soon as this season. For a team that had plenty of pitching even without Yu, Yu gotta think this was giving up too much.   

Now-named Warriors Dishonorable Mention:  I dunno man their 2017 ledger is pretty clean otherwise.  

 

NUMBER 7

The Trade: 

BBS traded Josh Hader, Mil SP to LTBS
LTBS traded Daniel Vogelbach, Sea 1B to BBS

What Went Wrong:   Anddd here it is, PROSPECT TRADE. The rule is meaningless. LORD this one looks bad, kinda makes me want to put it ahead of the next one but the next one was part of that ill-received championship offense teardown so let’s leave that there.  But EW.  We all know how Lobman’s Shark saga went.  He had to sit there and watch him be terrible for most of the goddamned year before finally (mercifully) giving up on him prior to the playoffs, which lead to unethical PTBNL deals and un-saavy deals for Tyson Ross and hey what do yanno I am basically summarizing this whole goddamned list.  Chris Archer went on to be really really good for Odom (cuz Ryan traded him for Strasburg, FAR MORE DEFENSIBLE) in 2015, before being more like just okay last year, but this year he will probably be good again next year.  Carlos Rodon will maybe be really really good any day now or maybe he will just be like Francisco Liriano, but in any case those two good to great pitchers for that one awful Shark year that did not work out one bit.

Slugs Dishonorable Mention:  Trading Antonio Senzatela for Dominic Smith was a bad trade because I was forced to mention it on this website. 

 

NUMBER 6

The Trade: 

LTBS traded A.J. Pollock, Ari CF to SAD!
SAD! traded Eduardo Nunez, FA SS to LTBS
SAD! traded Kevin Maitan, Atl SS to LTBS

What Went Wrong:   Poor AJ Pollock always getting tossed around this league, but yea TOO MUCH PROSPECT HUMPING for Doch in his first year of business. Maitan has already lost his luster and Nunez is Nunez, I don’t blame team SAD! for making this one 100 times out of 100.  FUN FACT:  SAD! also traded Ronald Acuna to acquire Nunez. SAD!

BackdoorSliderz Dishonorable Mention:  The haul given up to get Acuna is probably a weeee bit of an overpay, especially because ONCE AGAIN Fernando Tatis Jr.  is going to the be the top prospect next year. Gimme the SS over the OF any day, “generational talent” OF be damned.  

 

NUMBER 5

The Trade:  

T traded Matt Moore, Tex SP to XYZ
T traded Tyler Naquin, Cle CF to XYZ
XYZ traded Khris Davis, Oak LF to T

What Went Wrong:   The X*Rayz are always fast and furious traders and with that you are gonna have a few missteps, I certainly believe they “win” more than they “lose” with these things. HOWEVER Moore kinda sucks and Naquin kinda sucks and Khris Davis kinda just socks dongs year afer year after year.

X*Rayz Dishonorable Mention:  Didn’t love them trading Ozzie Albies (who is great) for fuggin Hernan Perez and Steven Wright (neither are great), didn’t love giving up a stock as high as it will ever be Matt Olson for Jorge Mateo (though I now love Mateo)

 

NUMBER 4

The Trade: 

MOON traded Andrew McCutchen, SF CF to rmac
MOON traded James Paxton, Sea SP to rmac
rmac traded Kyle Seager, Sea 3B to MOON
rmac traded Tim Beckham, Bal SS to MOON
rmac traded Michael Wacha, StL RP to MOON

What Went Wrong:   YEESH what was I doing here. I know I was trying to purge everyone that failed me in my playoff matchup so I believe at one point I wanted just to straight up McCutchen for Kyle Seager, and yet somehow I end up accepting a proposal where I just THROW IN James Paxton for fucking Michael Wacha and Tim Beckham. That is a tough one to make sense of.

Babadooks Dishonorable Mention:  Trading Victor Robles (and Roman Quinn) for Keon Broxton doesn’t look very good right about now, one could also say I’ve given up a few prospects a bit freely but SO WHAT.

 

NUMBER 3

The Trade: 

MOON traded Eduardo Nunez, FA SS to SAD!
SAD! traded Ronald Acuna, Atl CF to MOON

What Went Wrong:   HINDSIGHT TRADE. Because rules are meant to be broken. Obviously this one looks more horrible now than it did then but I DID MY RESEARCH and knew what I was getting, the Trout Fishing Club shoulda done theirs.

Fishing Club Dishonorable Mention:  While we are doing hindsight trades they also traded Albies for AJ Reed, also traded Rhys Hoskins as part of a PACKAGE for Joe Jimenez. Also trading Buster Posey for Josh Bell and Clint Frazier doesn’t look great now that the Fishing Club literally don’t have a fucking catcher.

 

NUMBER 2

The Trade: 

T traded Trevor Rosenthal, STL RP to RCBD
RCBD traded Freddie Freeman, Atl 1B to LTBS

What Went Wrong:   OH WAS THIS FROM 2016? I DO NOT CARE BECAUSE I AM STILL NOT OVER IT. Because it is from 2016 (and because the Morning Wood are more prolific in their missteps) I will leave this one at #2, but it remains so colossally fucking awful that I want it on a 2017 worst trades list even if it wasn’t actually from 2017. Shame on everyone that stood by and watched it happen.

Bad Dudes Dishonorable Mention:  AS FOR 2017 TRADES, Carlos Martinez Mitch HanigerVlad Guerrero Jr. for Yoenis Cespedes Jharel Cotton feels like it hasn’t aged great. Also he traded Dylan Bundy for Francisco Rodriguez last February and K-Rod is so olddddd and Bundy is (still) full of promise (maybe).

 

NUMBER 1

The Trade: 

WOOD traded Noah Syndergaard, NYM SP to rmac
WOOD traded Carson Fulmer, CWS SP to rmac
rmac traded Brandon Belt, SF 1B to WOOD
rmac traded Felix Hernandez, Sea SP to WOOD

What Went Wrong:   AND A FULL PIVOT BACK TO THE “NO HINDSIGHT” RULE. Just to make this “column” if you will as frustrating of a read as possible. Obviously Syndergaard got injured last year and gave rmac little to nothing but AT THE TIME of trade he was coming off a prettttty brilliant 2016 and the Morning wood still parted with him for fucking Brandon Belt and a washed up King Felix. Also 24 hours earlier I offered Joey Votto for Syndergaard and it was declined about 15 minutes before this trade was processed. So yea. But really this isn’t about picking any one QTCMW trade, pick your own personal favorite and put it in here. If it wasn’t for me handing this guy catchers for free and good prospects I don’t know where he would be (in the same spot I guess).

Morning Wood Dishonorable Mention:  God IS THERE A CHARACTER LIMIT FOR DISHONORABLE MENTION? Packing Sano and Lindor (and Harvey but whatever) in a trade was bad, acquiring Robbie Ray from Odom and then trading him BACK to Odom 1.5 months later for Christian Arroyo Jorge Bonifacio Chris Tillman was bad (MY GOD WHAT WAS THIS), trading Whit Merrifield for Starling Marte but inexplicably throwing in Vlad Jr. was bad, Kyle Seager for Carson Fulmer was bad (had already traded away Fulmer above, you see), Gleyber Torres for K-Rod and Frankie Montas I wouldn’t term good, ditto for Brent Honeywell for Ender Inciarte, and at this point maybe I am just being too hard on the ole’ erections but still yea just do a bit better going forward please.

 

 

So there you have it folks, no real surprise about the particular TEAM in the top spot but really I want to commend the league. For this troll post was harder to write than I thought it was gonna be, most teams make mostly sound decisions in the trade game (hiccups can happen). LOOKING FORWARD TO TRADING WITH YOU ALL THIS SEASON, if I feel like it, which I may at some point but also may not. You can always trade with Odom at least.

 

 

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2018 Troll Series: Volume 1…..well maybe the only volume

NEW YEAR NEW TRADES: JANUARY 2018 ROUNDUP

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This came up in a “2018 happy new year” search and I am not sure why BUT I DO LOVE IT SO….

 

 

Oh how I dream of a day where I figure out a concise (yet FUN[!]) way of going about these trade reviews that I find acceptable, to me.  Because I am the only important member of my audience.  But for now NEW YEAR NEW FORMAT ATTEMPT, Rose-y and Thorn-y MLB Comps and me attempting to anger people by attempting to analyze their thought process and shit like that.  Winners are obviously my humble and correct opinion, your mileage may vary.

Let’s look at what January hath brought us thus far shall we?  [UPDATING]

 

 

 

 

The TRADE?

 

The WHO?

Morning Wood Return

JAKE BAUERS, 22.25 year old Rays 1B/OF prospect of some repute. Most famous for hitting a lot of dongs in spring training last year and then not even SNIFFING the major league roster cuz the Rays are dicks. Hit 13 HRs, stole 20 bags, OBP’d at .368 at AAA last year. WHICH IS PRETTY SEXY WHAT WAS I DOING. These latest overall prospect ranks are from like July or some shit (except MLB.com who knows what they are doing and they are as follows:  Baseball America Top 100- 66  , BP Top 50- N/R, MLB.com top 100- 73.  Rose-y MLB Comp:  Brandon Belt     Thorn-y MLB Comp:  James Loney  

JACK FLAHERTY, 22.22 year old Cardinals SP whom probably deserves better than just getting tossed in deals all willy nilly but hey the Banana Slugs started it by dropping him. 8.96 K/9 and a 2.71 ERA (4.10 FIP) in 85 AAA innings in 2017 (he also did some stuff in AA but whatever), then 8.44 K/9 and 6.33 ERA (5.27 FIP) in a 21 inning cup of coffee. I suspect he is better than that debut and so does most of the prospect lists, albeit probably were prior to that debut (but whatever 21 inning ain’t shit). Baseball America Top 100- 57  , BP Top 50- N/R, MLB.com top 100- 48.  Rose-y MLB Comp:  Sonny Gray     Thorn-y MLB Comp:  Ricky Nolasco

 

MooniniteZ Babadooks Return

JP CRAWFORD, all but 23 year old Phillies SS prospect whom has been their top prospect like 3 years running but has slowly fallen from grace everywhere else. To illustrate, BA had him in their top 15 in all of baseball from 2014-2016 and you can see where he is at now below. Hit 15 HRs and OBP’d .351 at AAA last season. Then came up and THAT ALL DISAPPEARED. Except the OBP that stayed (.356). Baseball America Top 100- 92  , BP Top 50- 20, MLB.com top 100- 54.  Rose-y MLB Comp:  Xander Bogaerts     Thorn-y MLB Comp:  Freddy Galvis Plus OBP Minus Power

 

The WHY?

THIS ONE is pretty easy since I complete know half of the thinking. The MooniniteZ Babadooks were thinking Lewis Brinson might not be up to start the season and Scott Kingery probably gets held back til May or June and they wanted JP’s 60 High Minors ABs to bridge the gap until Kingery or Willy Adames or SOMEBODY steps up. There is also the chance JP turns out to be as good as he was supposed to be and then he can stay. May be one of those “better baseball player than fantasy baseball player” types however.

The Bonerz were thinking they weren’t too attached to JP when the MoonZ ‘Dooks came calling, and their asking price was minors folks and the MooniniteZ Babadooks just kinda willingly threw Flaherty in there so what the fuck. The Bonerz are pretty set up the middle but less so at 1B, hence Jake Bauers might fill that void as soon as May or June or even OPENING DAY who knows. I do have it on good authority they could have had Anthony Alford instead but chose Bauers, so yanno debate that amongst yourselves if that was right or wrong or what.

 

The WINNER?

THE MORNING WOOD. As with most of my dealings with this franchise it wasn’t about winning or losing. It was about 60 measly High Minors ABs in April and freeing up a MI spot to an entire year’s worth of minors guys. #AprilWinsMatter

 

 

 

The TRADE?

Also the Bad Dudes receive the Banana Slugs 2nd Round Spring Draft Pick WOO FUCKING HOO

 

The WHO?

Bad Dudes Return

JAKE ARRIETA, 31.77 year old SP WHO NOBODY EVEN WANTS RIGHT NOW. If you are the Bad Dudes you have to be concerned nobody signs him and he just quietly retires and fades into the ether. If he doesn’t do that, you might get a decent workhorse here. who knows what you are getting here.  8.71 K/9 and a 3.53 ERA (4.16 FIP) in an up and down 2017. Without such ups and downs the Slugs would never have parted with him, as he was dominant in 2014 and 2015 and pretty fucking good in 2016. What 2018 holds we shall I guess find out (assuming somebody signs him).

ZACH BRITTON, 30 year old Orioles closer that keeps fucking injuring himself. Logged 37 injured innings in 2017 and the Ks were all gone and he was all weird (6.99 K/9, 2.89 ERA, 3.40 FIP). Prior to last year’s mess he rode a nasty sinker to nasty numbers, including 47 Saves and a 0.54 ERA (1.94 FIP) in 2016. But now he ruptured his Achilles and will miss probably like six months if everything goes WELL. So again who knows what comes of this man in 2018.

JOE JIMENEZ, 22.9 year old Tigers reliever and likely future closer if he keeps it together. 12.96 K/9 and a 1.44 ERA (2.42 FIP) in 25 AAA innings in 2017, then 8.05 K/9 and LIT THE FUCK UP TO A TUNE OF 12.32 ERA (5.84 FIP) in a 19 inning MLB stint. He is probably better than that but yanno, gotta watch those walks and then watch those dingers following those walks  Rose-y MLB Comp:  Jeurys Familia     Thorn-y MLB Comp:  The list of flamed out relievers is long, so sure Bruce Rondon (low hanging fruit)

 

Banana Slugs Return

JIMMIE SHERFY, 26 year old reliever for the DBacks and HELL he might be the closer sometimes, I have no idea what they are doing there. 11.20 K/9 and a 3.12 ERA (3.62 FIP) in 49 AAA innings in 2017, then 7.59 K/9 and ZERO RUNS ALLOWED (2.03 FIP) in 10.2 innings for Arizona. 10.2 innings is not much to go off of, but I have seen AT LEAST one blog saying he should be Arizona’s closer and that counts for something around here because blogs tell the truth. Supposedly his mechanics used to be a mess with the walks to go along with it but now those have been smoothed out? Supposedly? Fastball Curveball Changeup pitcher, and in his short AZ stint through the curve more than the 93 mph “heat” (50.6 % CB 47.4% FB). NOT ON PROSPECT LISTS STOP ASKING.  Rose-y MLB Comp:  David Robertson (nailed it)     Thorn-y MLB Comp:  Justin Grimm (nailed it)

ERVIN SANTANA, 35 year old Twins SP who just put together the season of his fucking life. 211 IP, 16-8, 5 COMPLETE GAMES (3 CG SOs), 7.11 K/9 and a 3.28 ERA (4.46 FIP). Look man……every year some pitchers have this sorta year, they totally do not deserve to be good and yet they are good. OBVIOUSLY credit where credit is due, you have to have your shit working to throw 3 shutouts. I would not expect a repeat performance in 2018 (he is 35) but he is also economical with his pitch counts, and the Twins don’t care if his arm falls off anyways, so don’t rule out a few key CGs for the Slugs.

WADE DAVIS, 32.25 year old closer who has taken his talents to Colorado after a year with the Cubbies. 12.12 K/9, 32 Saves, 2.30 ERA (3.38 FIP). Look man…..over the past couple of years Wade Davis has been like 4th or 5th best reliever in all of baseball at worst. He is good. He is also headed to Coors and those issues, but I am going on record to say I think he can hack it. Gave up 6 HRs last year (58.2 IP) but none in 2016 (43.1 IP), 3 in 2015 (67.1 IP), none in 2014 (72 IP). He good.

 

The WHY?

For the Bad Dudes, the regular season is but a prelude to the postseason and I have to think this deal had a little bit of that in mind. Zach Britton won’t contribute until mid-summer if at all, perhaps there’s hope for Joe Jimenez to be established by then as well, Arrieta either is good at that point in time or he is gone. If Britton comes back and regains his pre multiple injuries form (a big IF) he is a better asset than Wade Davis (particularly Coors Wade Davis), and that’s the gamble of the Dudes here.

For the Banana Slugs, I gotta think they had heart eyes emoji for Sherfy first and foremost as they loveeeee their minors relievers (and sometimes their minors). There is also the allure of the potential for a few Ervin Santana CGs at a few opportune moments, and there is also the fact that Wade Davis is good and should still be good in Coors ONE WOULD THINK. I mean fucking Greg Holland pulled it off and Wade is better than that guy.

 

The WINNER?

THE BANANA SLUGS. Give me the Banana Slugs here, though it was pretty even and there is significant risk on both sides. However the Slugs made themselves better immediately and the Bad Dudes might have only made themselves better down the line maybe. Also I am inclined to pick against people that receive draft picks in these things because I am anti-draft pick trading. Also I MEAN IS JAKE ARRIETA EVEN GONNA PLAY THIS YEAR?

 

 

 

Future January trades will be added as they appear MAYBE.  There is also a looming ESPN shutdown, my guess is first week of February. There is also potential for all sorts of preseason content, potentially (10 teams in 10 days feels like it will return at a minimum). You have been properly warned.

 

 

 

 

 

 

NEW YEAR NEW TRADES: JANUARY 2018 ROUNDUP

Trade Review: Holiday Edition

(Note: This isn’t holiday related in any way, shape, or form. I just wanted to continue to wage war on Christmas by saying Holiday. Carry on)

From the desk of Sean “Hannity” Dochney: 

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Trade Reviews from October to December

By Sean Dochney

 

Sean #2 is back again to give his opinion on the trades that went down from October until now.  I know this is what everyone has been eagerly waiting for since the last time I dabbled in the blog, so without further ado…..

Barnegat Banana Slugs receive AJ Minter and Mike Soroka

Bellcrest Park Mooninites receive Marwin Gonzalez and Mitch Garver

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AJ Minter – P ATL

24 years old

2017 Stats – MLB 15 IP, 3.00 ERA, 26 Ks, 15.6 SO/9, 1.2 BB/9

Minors (A-, A+, AA, AAA) 24.1 IP, 3.33 ERA, 11.1 SO/9, 4.4 BB/9

Possibly a nice little high minor holds guy for the beginning of next season.  Had a nice debut in a small sample size.  His K rates and Walk rates from his first cup of coffee may not be sustainable as evidenced by his minor league numbers, although he still had very good K rate in the minors.

Mike Soroka – P ATL

20 years old

2017 Stats – (AA) 11-8, 153.2 IP, 2.75 ERA, 125 Ks, 7.3 SO/9, 2.0 BB/9

This is a young arm that I personally like.  Soroka is a former first round pick who was one of the younger players in the Southern League last season, and pitched very effectively.  His K rates lead a lot to be desired, but he is still young and learning how to pitch.  Seems to have a ceiling of a solid mid rotation starter.  Will he be a fantasy stud?  Probably not, unless he increases his K rates, but he will be a solid option to have.  You all love your comparisons, so let’s say Kyle Hendricks potential, and if you don’t like that comp, then don’t ask next time (Looking at you other Sean).

Marwin Gonzalez – LF, SS, 1B, 2B, 3B HOU

29 Years Old Opening Day

2017 Stats – .303/.377/.530, .907 OPS, 67 Runs, 34 2Bs, 23 HRs, 90 RBIs, 8 SB

What a breakout performance by this guy.  Set career highs in just about every offensive category, and will carry position eligibility for 5 different positions heading into next season.  I get the feeling last season will be the best of his career, but there is still plenty of value in this guy if he can replicate those power numbers with all that position eligibility he possesses.

 

Mitch Garver – C MIN

27 Years Old Opening Day

2017 Stats – 46 Abs .196/.288/.348, 3 3Bs

Minors – (AAA) 88 Games, .291/.387/.541, .928 OPS, 29 2Bs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs

Not so young catching prospect that still has 84 at bats of high minor eligibility.  Had some real good numbers in his 88 games in the minors last season, especially the power numbers.  We will see if that translates over to the Bigs.  Not a bad flier to take here if he is getting early season at bats for the Twins.  To be honest, I don’t know what the Twins depth chart at catcher looks like today, and it is also not worth my time to look up, but we will say maybe this guy can provide a little bit of value in the Backyard.

 

DOCnalysis (It’s almost like an analysis but better because it’s my opinion)

Marwin Gonzalez is the best player right now and Soroka is no slam dunk to be a fantasy stud, so we will say Sean wins this trade.  But who knows, if Marwin goes back to his 2015 or 2016 self, then he gets dropped and is nothing more then a streaming option.  If that’s the case, then Soroka will end up being the best player in this deal.  Either way, not a deal anyone was wowed by.  Could be a good case of Salty Smitty selling Marwin Gonzalez at his peak though, so I like it enough for both sides.  Salty Smitty is a nickname that might stick after the latest controversy after the referendum, I hope he doesn’t take me to seriously when I say this.  I encourage him to change his name to this on GroupMe, at least for times he is frustrated with the league or me.  Bitter Brian would also work.

 

Lacey Township Backdoor Sliderz receive Robbie Ray and Royce Lewis (Rights)

Point Loma X-Rays Receive Marcel Ozuna

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Robbie Ray – SP ARI

26 Years Old

2017 Stats – 15-5, 162.0 IP, 2.89 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 3.72 FIP, 218 Ks, 12.1 SO/9, 3.9 BB/9

News flash, Robbie Ray is a stud for fantasy.  Man, I love those Ks.  Two straight seasons at 218 Ks is nice to think about moving forward for the young starter.  I am a little concerned about the innings and if he will ever push 200 innings.  I am also not in love with his walk rate, but hey no one is perfect, not even me.  He averages under 6 innings per start, so that is not great, but he will still get his QS.   There are some red flags associated with Ray, especially in an age where pitchers make their living on the DL.  But whatever, fuck it, my pitching sucked at times last year and I really like those K rates.

 

Royce Lewis – SS MIN

18 Years Old

2017 Stats – (Rk and A) 54 games, .279/.381/.407, 54 Runs, 8 2Bs, 3 3Bs, 4 HRs, 27 RBI, 18 SB, 3 CS

First overall selection in the MLB Amateur Draft, but 10th overall selection in the draft that really matters (All Star Break Draft).  Way to small sample size to really care about his numbers, but I would say it was successful.  Seems like a prototype “Rays Ways” guys with his speed, and hopefully there is some power there as well.  He was taken first overall in the draft for a reason by people who know a lot more about baseball then us.  There is good value in this guy, even if it takes years for him to make it to the Show.  We all know how much Dochney likes his teenagers (Prospects! Get your heads out the gutter!), so he doesn’t mind being patient with this guy, and conveniently the minors slots just expanded.

 

Marcel Ozuna – LF STL

27 Years Old

2017 Stats- .312/.376/.548, .924 OPS, 93 Runs, 30 2Bs, 2 3Bs, 37 HRs, 124 RBI

Marcel Ozuna had a great season last year and is one of the better young sluggers in the game.  Ozuna made his second all star team last year but boy this felt like his true breakout campaign that included a lot of career highs.  He is not hitting in that Miami lineup anymore, but he will still have plenty of RBI opportunities in St. Louis.  His OBP kind of came out of nowhere and I think it will drop a little bit.  He did have a career high BABIP at .355, which ranked 9th in the league.  This is awesome, but will he keep this up after a .296 BABIP in 2016? I don’t have the answer, probably why I traded him.  I do think he is capable of duplicating 60 XBH and 100 RBI, and I would guess Odom would be very ok with that.

 

DOCnalysis

Well I always want to side with myself when writing about my trades, but having a little trouble on this one.  I think Odom and I both sold high on young guys who had stellar seasons.  Will Ray keep up his sub-3 era? I am going to say very unlikely.  Will Ozuna have a .370 OBP with 120 RBI?  I am guessing he won’t do that either.  Royce Lewis was the kicker for me to accept this deal, but that doesn’t mean I won this deal.  I will say Odom won this because I find hitters more valuable and the injury risks associated with pitchers scare the shit out of me.  Good job Odom.

 

Bellcrest Mooninites Receive Aroldis Chapman

Point Loma X-Rays Receive Justin Smoak and MacKenzie Gore

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Aroldis Chapman – CP NYY

30 Years Old

2017 Stats – 22 saves, 3.22 ERA, 2.56 FIP, 50.1 IP, 69 SO, 12.3 SO/9, 3.6 BB/9

Chapman is an elite reliever (and elite wife beater), we know he has been for quite a while.  Last season was somewhat of a disappointment to his own standards last year, but he is still very good, and will be closing for a very good team that just injected more power into their lineup.

 

Justin Smoak – 1B TOR

31 Years Old

2017 Stats – .270/.355/.529, .883 OPS, 85 Runs, 29 2Bs, 1 3B, 38 HRs, 90 RBI

Breakout performers on the move have been the theme of offseason trades, and the theme continues with Smoak.  The most impressive thing to me about his 2017 is the drop in K %, which sat at 20.1%.  In 2016 that K % was 32.8%.  I have no idea how this would explain his increase in isolated power, or the 24 more bombs he hit, but I was impressed anyway when I came across this stat.  Will Smoak keep up his breakout?  I am skeptical, but I get the feeling Odom cares a lot more about MacKenzie Gore in this trade anyway.

 

MacKenzie Gore – SP SDP

19 Years Old

2017 Stats – Rookie Ball 0-1, 21.1 IP, 1.27 ERA, 34 Ks, 14.3 SO/9, 3.0 BB/9

Why would Odom want a guy that doesn’t have a single win in his entire professional career, fucking terrible!  Obviously just kidding, talent is oozing out of the number 4 overall draft pick in the most recent MLB Amateur Draft.  Looks like he was only allowed to go 3 innings in each start of the extremely small sample size of his professional career.  The youngster will get a larger body of work next year, and the hope is the high Ks will follow him as he goes up the chain.  This guy has an extremely high ceiling for Odom’s now home town San Diego.  I hate comps, but let’s compare him to – ehhh –  I don’t know Robbie Ray, who Odom just traded.
DOCnalysis

Chapman is such an elite reliever that it looks like he had a bad season last year.  Maybe Yankee fans are just spoiled and overreact about this guy, maybe he is starting to flame out a bit as he ages.  Either way I would love to have Chapman on my roster next year.  I don’t believe in Smoak, but I certainly believe in Gore, and I don’t care if that is an inconvenient truth for some of you (see what I did there?).  Smoak could easily hit waivers by midseason, and we will not see Gore for years, so I guess I will side with Sean receiving Chapman here as the winner, for now (see 2-year rule).

 

Point Loma X-Rays Receive Nicholas Castellanos and Jay Bruce

Q-Tip City Morning Wood Receive Evan Longoria, Adam Duvall and 4th pick ASB

Picture5

Nicholas Castellanos – 3B DET

26 Years Old

2017 Stats – .272/.320/.490, .811 OPS, 73 Runs, 36 2Bs, 10 3Bs, 26 HRs, 101 RBIs

Hey, solid year Castellanos, the 10 3Bs shocked me, but I guess it is spacious up there in Detroit.  He is still young and was a big prospect few years ago, and the hope is he can build off last season.  Castellanos is solid moving forward, and a good replacement for Longoria in Point Loma.

 

Jay Bruce – RF FA

31 Years Old

2017 Stats –  .256/.324/.508, .832 OPS, 82 Runs, 29 2Bs, 2 3Bs, 36 HRs, 101 RBI

The one-dimensional free agent did what he does year in and year out, which is provide power.  Odom will gladly take that power on his roster, and we know exactly what the consistent Bruce provides.

 

Evan Longoria – 3B SFG

32 Years Old

2017 Stats –  .261/.313/.424, .737 OPS, 71 Runs, 36 2Bs, 2 3Bs, 20 HRs, 86 RBIs

Little shocked Odom traded his boy here, but boy was it time to trade him after a down year.  Odom will hold his head high that Longoria was on his championship roster, but it was time to move on.  2016 was a great season for Longoria, so it is not out of the question he bounces back in 2018, but I do believe his best days are behind him, especially now that he is playing his home games in San Francisco.

 

Adam Duvall – LF CIN

29 Years Old

2017 Stats – .249/.301/.480, .781 OPS, 78 Runs, 37 2Bs, 3 3Bs, 31 HRs, 99 RBIs

I like Adam Duvall, even reminds me a lot of Jay Bruce.  The power numbers are there to make a difference, but the OBP numbers suck and will probably stay that way.  Let’s see what I wrote about Duvall last time I contributed to the blog, which may have been in like I don’t know September.

Duvall is underrated in this league because his OBP sucks.  But OBP is just 1 category, and Duvall helps a lot in the counting stat categories.  He may not be sexy, but he instantly becomes the X*Rays top slugger on his roster.  And Odom won the league (albeit controversially) while having the 9th ranked OBP in the league.  Adam Duvall is no fluke either, this is the 2nd year in a row he is a full-time starter, and the 2nd year in a row that he will have over 30 2Bs, 30 HRs, and 100 RBIs.  Duvall is good, and plays in the hitter friendly confines of Great American Ballpark.  He will be 29 for most of next season as well.  Contrary to popular belief, he is not the same player as teammate Scott Schebler.  Duvall is a good power bat who will keep benefitting from hitting behind the Walking Red, which guarantees Duvall to have more and more RBI opportunities.  (Whatever Duvall been slumping and moved down the lineup and is not batting behind Votto right now, don’t ever fact check my claims!)

(He didn’t quite get to those 100 RBI)

 

DOCnalysis

Duvall and Bruce kind of cancel each other out in my mind.  Castellanos might be better than old man Longoria moving forward, but I don’t know, maybe Longoria goes back to 2016 form and is better.  I like that Shane thought about the future and got an ASB draft pick here, so I will side with Shane in this deal since the players are close to each other talent wise.  Odom did unload an aging player in Longoria, so I do like that, but not sure he needed to give up the draft pick to do so.  YES, I VALUE DRAFT PICKS AND WILL NOT OVERLOOK THEM IN MY WRITINGS.  Don’t care if these draft picks are years away from fantasy relevance, I am a firm believer in always restocking your pipeline and acquiring up talent, even if that talent is simple trade bait.  This is more true to me now that we have 10 minors slots.

 

Astoria Isotopes Receive Stephen Gonsalves

Ocean Gate Trout Fishing Club Receive 6th draft pick in Spring Draft

 

Stephen Gonsalves – SP MIN

23 Years Old

2017 Stats – (AA, AAA) 9-5, 3.27 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 110.0 IP, 118 Ks, 9.7 SO/9, 2.5 BB/9

Solid pitching prospect, K rates were a little better in minors then I thought and walk rate is solid.  Should debut in Minnesota this season, and time will tell as to how smooth a transition that will be.

 

DOCnalysis

This was a move Heroy made to position himself in the upcoming Spring Draft.  We will hold judgement on the deal until we see what Heroy does, because I do think there are more exciting prospects available in that draft when compared to Gonsalves.  With that said, Gonsalves will presumably be making and impact quicker then whoever is taken in the Spring Draft.

 

Ocean Gate Trout Fishing Club Receive Josh Hader, Kyle Hendricks, and 5th Spring pick

Lacey Township Backdoor Sliderz Receive Gregory Polanco, Steven Matz and 6th Spring Pick

 Picture6

Josh Hader – P MIL

24 Years Old

2017 Stats – 12 Holds, 2.08 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 3.03 FIP, 47.2 IP, 68 Ks, 12.8 SO/9, 4.2 BB/9

AAA Stats – 12 Starts, 5.37 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 52.0 IP, 51 Ks, 8.8 SO/9, 5.4 BB/9

The curious case of Josh Hader.  He had high K rates but troubling walk rates.  He was lights out coming out of the pen last season as a rookie, but was not so good as a starter in AAA.  Looking at the numbers, looks like those control issues may keep him in the bullpen and out of the rotation, but I would expect he gets a shot to be a starter again at some point.  Will he be successful is the big question though?  He might be destined for a role in the bullpen.

 

Kyle Hendricks – SP CHC

28 Years Old

2017 Stats – 7-5, 3.03 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 3.88 FIP, 139.2 IP, 123 Ks, 7.9 SO/9, 2.6 BB/9

I really like Kyle Hendricks.  He does not possess elite K numbers, and I think he gets overlooked a lot because of that.  But he has been pitching so well the last few seasons and is a guy that will pick up QS, low era, and wins for a very good Cubs team.  Without great K numbers though, a bad month might mean he hits the waiver wire and bounces around as a streaming option.

 

Gregory Polanco – RF, LF PIT

26 Years Old

2017 Stats – .251/.305/.391, .695 OPS, 39 Runs, 20 2Bs, 11 HRs, 35 RBIs

Polanco had a good 2016 that the young outfielder looked like he was going to build on heading into 2017.  Things did not go according to plan and injuries slowed him down greatly.  The once top prospect still has plenty of talent, and the hope here is he hasn’t had his true break out yet.

 

Steven Matz –  SP NYM

26 Years Old

2017 Stats – 2-7, 6.08 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 5.05 FIP, 66.2 IP, 48 Ks, 6.5 SO/9, 2.6 BB/9

Not going to waste my time talking about Matz because I already dropped him.  His numbers and peripherals were terrible last year in an injury riddled season, which seems to be a Mets theme for as long as I can remember.

 

DOCnalysis

Well I like Polanco the most in this deal, but he has a lot to prove still.  Hendricks has probably proven himself to be the most polished in the deal, and Hader still has plenty of upside if he can get those control issues fixed a bit.  I’ll side with Heroy as the winner of this deal right now, but that can change in my mind if Hader stays in bullpen and Polanco builds off his 2016 season.

Trade Review: Holiday Edition

OFFSEASON TRAAADE REVIEWS: MID SEPTEMBER ISH THROUGH OCTOBER EDITION

2017-leaf-metal-draft-baseball-header
The lack of analysis on this one has gone on LONG ENOUGH (not that there’s any real analysis below)

 

 

 

CHRISTMAS COMES EARLY TO THE BACKYARD, AS I HAVE EMERGED FROM A BRIEF HIBERNATION TO FEED THE FLAMES OF WINTER MEETINGS BY ANALYZING DEALS WE DID LIKE THREE MONTHS AGO.  AND EVENTUALLY SOME MORE RECENT ONES.  NEW FORMAT AS WELL, FOR THE MILLIONTH TIME. HEADING INTO 2018 WE ARE WORKSHOPPING MONTHLY TRADE REVIEWS WHERE EVERYTHING GETS NOTED, BUT ONLY THE TOP TWO OR SO TRADES IN A GIVEN MONTH GET SOMETHING APPROACHING “IN-DEPTH” ANALYSIS………
SO LETS TRY THAT NOW WITH MID SEPTEMBERI-SH THROUGH OCTOBER AS A GUINEA PIG, TO BE FOLLOWED BY NOVEMBER THROUGH DECEMBER. SHALL WE???? WE SHALL….

TRADE ROUNDUP:

 

                             NOTES  
  Sat, Oct 28
7:17 PM
BPMZ traded Mitch Keller, Pit SP to XYZ XYZ traded Mike Clevinger, Cle RP to BPMZ X-Rayz prrrrrobably won here. I mean almost definitely, but great hair on that Clevinger.
 Sat, Sep 23
2:45 AM
T traded Jorge Mateo, Oak SS to XYZ XYZ traded Matt Olson, Oak RF to T Isotopes do a good job of replacing the Rhys man.
  Fri, Sep 22
5:17 PM
RCBD traded Sean Newcomb, Atl SP to SAD! SAD! traded Sean Manaea, Oak SP to RCBD I don’t remember what this was but I think we all lost as a league here.
 Fri, Sep 22
4:31 PM
SAD! traded Clint Frazier, NYY CF to XYZ XYZ traded Raisel Iglesias, Cin RP to SAD! The OGTFC finally acquiring the closer I didn’t want to trade to them.
 Fri, Sep 22
3:19 PM
BPMZ traded Raisel Iglesias, Cin RP to XYZ XYZ traded Willy Adames, TB SS to BPMZ This was the moment the MooniniteZ officially had too many MI prospects.
 Fri, Sep 22
1:15 PM
BPMZ traded Andrew McCutchen, Pit CF to rmac
BPMZ traded James Paxton, Sea SP to rmac
rmac traded Kyle Seager, Sea 3B to BPMZ
rmac traded Tim Beckham, Bal SS to BPMZ
rmac traded Michael Wacha, StL RP to BPMZ
I AM SO ASHAMED OF THIS PARTICULAR TRADE.  See more below.
  Fri, Sep 22
11:14 AM
rmac traded Matt Kemp, Atl RF to XYZ XYZ traded David Price, Bos SP to rmac HOW MANY FUCKING PITCHERS IS ENOUGH RYAN?
 Mon, Sep 18
9:43 PM
T traded Cody Bellinger, LAD 1B to BPMZ
T traded Scott Kingery, Phi 2B to BPMZ
T traded Rhys Hoskins, Phi 1B to BPMZ
BPMZ traded Nolan Arenado, Col 3B to T THE BIGGEST BLOCKBUSTER THIS LEAGUE HAS EVER SEEN. Not sure if the new dynasty format encourages or discourages the trading of “star player” types but fuck y’all y’all soft is what I think about that.
Mon, Sep 18
11:03 AM
WOOD traded Whit Merrifield, KC 2B to BBS
WOOD traded Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Tor RF to BBS
BBS traded Starling Marte, Pit LF to WOOD
BBS traded Tyler O’Neill, StL LF to WOOD
Just wanna note that Vlad Guerrero Jr. was like a THROW IN on this deal, whereas Ronald Acuna was previously traded for 3 guys.

 

 

 

Should probably get it out of the way now that there’s A GOOD CHANCE I am missing some draft pick maneuvering up in there, because of course I am, but that’s your fault for thinking I give a fuck about your draft picks maneuvering.  That being said I’ll try and ‘member draft pick maneuvering for any deals I highlight, and in the future I’ll try and get them into the roundup. For this round of the roundup, I don’t ‘member…..

 

 

 

(Or I just won’t highlight deals where draft picks were probably involved.  MOVING ON)

 

There was enough wheeling and dealing in this stretch where I am going to cover not one or two but three deals, two of which involved myself.

 

TRADE #1 (9/18/17):

WOOD traded Whit Merrifield, KC 2B to BBS
WOOD traded Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Tor RF to BBS
BBS traded Starling Marte, Pit LF to WOOD
BBS traded Tyler O’Neill, StL LF to WOOD

NOTES/MAJOR LEAGUE COMPS:

 

WHIT MERRIFIELD, had himself a revelation of a season.  32 doubles, 6 triples, 19 dongs 34 SBs…. showed a bit on the basepaths in the minors but the dongs came outta nowhere, and even with those likely regressing if he keeps it up on the basepaths and keeps churning out the other XBHs he is a bona fide stud in this format.  Love me some Whit…..

VLAD GUERRERO JR., just tossed in the deal here as if he isn’t in the conversation for top prospect in all of baseball right now and as if he isn’t THE PROGENY OF THE GREAT VLADIMIR GUERRERO HIMSELF.  Vlad Jr. is not quite 19 but is going to end up being really really good and DIDN’T DESERVE THIS. Vlad had a .409 OBP in A ball last year.  Major League Comparison:  Hanley Ramirez or David Ortiz or Albert Pujols or something like that.

Vlad’s Recent Prospect Rankings:   

Baseball America  –   2

Baseball Prospectus – 13

MLB.com – 4

 

STARLING MARTE   is a cheater, but also a guy who was expertly marketed by the Slugs as a “20/20” type even though he simply lucked into 19 HRs LIKE ONE FUCKIN TIME and is probably more of a 15 dongs in a great year type. He can still run a pretty good bit so one would think he has the chances to put up a Whit Merrifield-esque season with less power 😉

TYLER O’NEILL I am certain was considered to be a better prospect at some point, now he is a guy that gets traded midseason to the Cardinals for Marco Gonzalez. Strikeout prone but power to all fields seems to be the book, and there’s worse books out there than that certainly. Fangraphs recently ranked him as the Cards 7th best prospect (FV 50) and labeled him a future “average regular” so SURE let us go with that. Average regular in this man’s future. But also Tyler hit 31 HRs last year in just shy of 500 ABs so maybe we are all selling him short, as I will do now. Major League Comparison:  Brett Lawrie.

Tyler’s Recent Prospect Rankings:   

Baseball America  –   CAN’T FIND EM

Baseball Prospectus – CAN’T FIND EM

MLB.com – 87

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

Honestly I would have paused at giving up Merrifield straight up for StarMar, so to THENNNN throw in Vlad Jr. and merely take back Tyler O’Neill….ugh. Vlad Jr. most certainly felt like the kinda guy you gotta hold onto if you’re this particular franchise, and if you’re giving him up he’s not just casually tossed into a trade he is the centerpiece of said trade. NOT YOUR BEST MOVE Q-TIP CITY, WHICH IS SAYING SOMETHING……if it wasn’t for me giving them stud pitching prospects for closers I just don’t know where that franchise would be. Probably about where they are now.   Side I Side WithBarnegat Banana Slugs

 

 

 

 

 

 

TRADE #2 (9/18/17):

 

T traded Cody Bellinger, LAD 1B to BPMZ
T traded Scott Kingery, Phi 2B to BPMZ
T traded Rhys Hoskins, Phi 1B to BPMZ
BPMZ traded Nolan Arenado, Col 3B to T

AKA THE BIGGEST TRADE THIS LEAGUE HAS EVER SEEEEEEEEEEEN

AKA   ;(

 

NOTES/MAJOR LEAGUE COMPS:

 

CODY BELLINGER, prior to having just a TERRIBLE time picking up breaking balls in the World Series (McCullers has a good curve), had himself a year last year. Unanimous ROY for the NL, 39 HRs, yada yada yada. Only 22 years old and 5 months as of writing this, and the MooniniteZ are banking on him being a reallll cornerstone for many moonz to come.

SCOTT KINGERY is the forgotten man in this deal but the MooniniteZ hope that won’t be the case for long, as he is KNOCKIN ON THE DOOR of the majors after posting 18 HR/19 SB in 69 games at AA and following that up with 8 HRs/10 SB in 63 games at AAA. The power came out of nowhere to make the Phillies dream of 20/20 but who knows if that is for real, wheels have been there for a while so you can maybe settle into more of a 10-15/30 type. The Phillies are currently frantically shopping their middle infielders partly because they know Kingery will be ready by May or June the latest. Major League Comparison:  I’m going Jean Segura BECAUSE I DON’T SEE COLOR, and because all you read is Chase Utley and that is the laziest goddamn thing.

Scott’s Recent Prospect Rankings:   

Baseball America  –   52

Baseball Prospectus – 50

MLB.com – 50

 

RHYS HOSKINS was famously RIDICULOUSLY hot at the start of his career, helping to carry the X-Rayz to the BCS title prior to being famously dropped as punishment for misgivings. 18 HRs in 50 games, cooled off a bit after swatting 11 in his first 22. MooniniteZ scouts have privately conceded they think he will be a better player than Bellinger in this format, AND NOW IT HAS BEEN PUBLICLY CONCEDED. Drinking the Rhys Kool-Aid and it is tasting delicious.

NOLAN ARENADO what needs to be said really. Top 5ish player in fantasy, top 10 absolutely, 130 133 130 are his RBI totals for the past three seasons. He is very good and I don’t want to talk about him too much.

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

This absolute BLOCKBUSTER clearly hinges pretty prominently on the development of the two talented rookies, as we all know what Arenado is and he will continue to be that. If you’re the MooniniteZ here you’re trading  one HR/RBI machine for what you hope will develop into two HR/RBI machines, you’re also banking on Scott Kingery being a legitimate 20/20 threat to really ease the sting of Nolan’s absence from your life. If you’re the Isotopes you likely viewed this as somewhat of a no-brainer, maybe you didn’t believe in Rhys one bit and maybe you think Bellinger levels off. One team got a top 10 fantasy player in 2018 absolutely, the other hopes it grabbed two inside the top 25. And Scott Kingery.  Side I Side WithMINE

 

 

 

 

 

TRADE #3 (9/22):

 

BPMZ traded Andrew McCutchen, Pit CF to rmac
BPMZ traded James Paxton, Sea SP to rmac
rmac traded Kyle Seager, Sea 3B to BPMZ
rmac traded Tim Beckham, Bal SS to BPMZ
rmac traded Michael Wacha, StL RP to BPMZ

 

NOTES:

 

ANDREW MCCUTCHEN  arrived in MooniniteZ camp last offseason with everyone doubting his ability to be a top fantasy contributor once again, and through May he was kinda proving everyone right. But then June and July hit and with it he went on a reallll tear and he ended up with some solid numbers (28 HRs, 94 Rs, 88 RBIs, 11 SBs  maybe this is a bit better than “solid”).  Now somebody tell Ryan he won’t have RF eligibility I don’t have the heart to break it to him…..

JAMES PAXTON, yet another season of flashes of brilliance surround by DL stints. When he is on he can be as good as anybody, as evidenced by his career high 10.32 K/9 last season. But he has a penchant for ending up on the DL during playoffs time and the MooniniteZ already had Lance McCuller soooooo……jk there really isn’t any good justification for him being involved in this deal, except that Ryan likes the Mariners and I just want my brother to be happy…..

KYLE SEAGER is also a Mariner but the TR TBD traded him away so ownership perhaps doesn’t like the Ms as much as I thought, perhaps they just liked Paxton cuz he is good. BUT SEAGER WAS ONCE GOOD, last year a “down year” by most accounts but he still ends up with 27 HRs 88 RBIs. Gotta pull back a bit on the fly balls going forward and I think he has a nice opportunity to rebound a bit in the OBP cat, Nolan Arenado he is not but a solid 3B he is….

TIM BECKHAM was like one of the better hitters in all of baseball last August, but so was Jorge Polanco and so was Eugenio Suarez so WHAT DOES THAT TELL US NOTHING (I really like Eugenio though). Beckham is a former number one pick as we all know and he has SQUANDERED most of that talent but still will be heading into his age 28 season here, a chance for growth now that he’s broken free from the Rays but also a chance he sucks and I drop him. He had 22 dongs last year which feels like his ceiling.

MICHAEL WACHA is just consistently MEH, just MEH numbers across the board last season over 30 starts.  8.58 K/9 will play in Bellcrest Park but THERE IS MORE TO PITCHING THAN Ks, even though Ks are the only things I discussed of the two pitchers in this section. Wacha’s numbers were mostly the same in both halves which is good since his rep has been that of a fader down the stretch. Won’t turn 27 until July so maybe he breaks out and I timed this right, also maybe he sucks and I cut him around the point in time where I’m gonna need to cut a pitcher or 3.

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

QUITE POSSIBLY, this is my least favorite trade of mine of like all time. Here’s why….. I can see Cutch and Seager cancelling out or very nearly cancelling out (Look at the last two years and TELL ME I AM LYIN, numbers similar last season and Seager’s superior in ’16). HOWEVER I am then left to contend with having traded James Paxton, frustratingly beautiful James Paxton, for Tim Beckham and Michael Wacha. Now Tim Beckham had his hot streak last August and maybe he flourishes in a full season in Bmore yada yada but there’s also a good chance he is terrible and gets dropped once one of my eleventeen middle infield prospects shows up. And Michael Wacha threw the ball pretty hard last year (95.6 avg fastball according to FG, compared to 96 for Paxton) but let’s be honest that is about where the comparisons with James Paxton end. Pax can be a top 10 pitcher if he can stay healthy for once in his goddamned life, with Wacha the upside just prrrrrrobably isn’t there at this point. And he arguably isn’t much of a better bet to be pitching during the Backyard Postseason and I will probably drop him for not being James Paxton at some point.  Side I Side WithCan’t even say mine, it’s The TR TBD here.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MERRRRRRRRRRY CHRISTMAS, YOU GET THIS PIECE OF SHIT REVIEW FOR CHRISTMAS IS WHAT YOU GET.
ALSO EXPECT A NOVEMBER/DECEMBER REVIEW TO FOLLOW
ALSO EXPECT THE TROLL SERIES TO MAYBE RETURN IN 2018 PROBABLY
ALSO EXPECT A BUNCH OF REALLY BAD ATTEMPTS TO FINE TUNE THESE TRADE REVIEWS BEFORE I AM SATISFIED WITH THE END RESULT (one where they get written far, far quicker)

ALSO EXPECT RHYS HOSKINS TO BE FAR BETTER THAN YOU ALL THINK HE IS GOING TO BE…..SO………..

 

 

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OFFSEASON TRAAADE REVIEWS: MID SEPTEMBER ISH THROUGH OCTOBER EDITION

OFFSEASON TRAAAAADE REVIEW: HIS DOCHNESS EDITION

acuna
“Clearly THE BIG STORY of the early offseason trade scrum, so I support Doch’s decision here to open up this lovely article with an Acuna pic” — the one true Sean

 

 

Editor’s Note:  FINALLY SOMEBODY STEPPED UP, and so we have a Trade Review for the small flurry of deals that occurred in this past week or so. Because damned if I was planning on writing one. All words and opinions here are Dochney’s so take any issues up with him, I am merely the vessel that uploaded them to this fine website and edited any typos I noticed.

“Somebody else beautifully contributing to the blog and me actually trying to check for typos, whatta world!” — the one true Sean

 

 

Offseason Trade Reviews

 

 

By Sean Dochney

 

 

 

The newest member of the Backyard League is getting his feet wet in writing for the league.  To be honest, I can’t think of a better person to voice their opinion for the blog, because what other opinion would anyone want to hear other than mine?  Blame (the one true) Sean #1 for being physically and mentally exhausted for writing countless articles and now unleashing the biased monster known as the Dochness Monster.  Let the awesome tyrannical opinion of me reign free.  Insert Nazi propaganda here.

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

TRADE #1

 

RCBD traded Archie Bradley, ARI RP to LTBS

LTBS traded Lazaro Armenteros, OAK OF to RCBD

 

 

AB

 

Lazaro Armenteros – OAK OF

18 years old

47 pro games played between Rookie Ball and Dominican Summer League

.276/.377/.433, 4 HRs, 4 3Bs, 12 SB, 3 CS

High profile 17-year-old international signing last year by Oakland who has not played that much professionally yet.  To his credit, he did see some action in Spring Training at 17, which is impressive. But then again, I seem to remember Billy Crystal and Will Ferrell have seen Spring Training at bats, so are spring training at bats really that impressive?  Just kidding, this kid is going to be good.  It is believed he will develop some power and he does have some speed.  Way too early to tell, and way too small a sample size to discuss his on base skills, but I will anyway.  If my math is correct, he had a 9% walk rate, and a 27.5% strike out rate in his first taste of pro ball.  We will see how he progresses over the next few years, but the Bad Dudes may have reacquired a future stud prospect who doesn’t turn 19 until next May (allegedly).

 

Archie Bradley – ARI RP

25 years old

64.2 IP, 71 SO, 1.25 ERA, 2.43 FIP, 9.9 SO/9, 21 Holds

Hard-throwing Archie Bradley was converted from a starter to a reliever this season and it looked like a great move for Arizona.  He isn’t a closer at this moment but that handsome gentleman down in Lacey is sure hoping he will win the job next Spring, with old man Rodney leaving for free agency this winter.  This guy was lights out in the bullpen and will still be 25 for most of the 2018 season.  He has all the stuff to be a dominant closer for a very solid Diamondback squad.  His beard plays very well in the bullpen, because it is common knowledge that guys with sweet beards are awesome relievers, science!  He has a fastball that sits in the upper 90s that he used at around a 70% clip.  Opponents have batted .195 against that fastball with a 11.9% whiff rate.  He used his curveball around 20% rate with great success as well, with a .190 opponent batting average against.

 

Analysis

The chat voted 6 to 1 in favor of Dochney winning this trade (thanks guys!).  Both players have a ton of potential for their positions and only time will tell who “won” this trade.  Bradley may not become a closer and I (Dochney) will look like an idiot for giving up a nice little prospect for a reliever who is about to lose his SP eligibility.  Lazaro is still years away though, so this was a risk worth taking for a potential dominant closer.  Because let’s face it, Dochney by far has the worst bullpen in the league with only the ELITE (I said it!) Corey Knebel rostered at the time of the trade.  This is a major 2018 upgrade for the fan favorite BackdoorSliderz.  For the sake of the article right now, I will side with the chat on this one and say Dochney won the trade at this moment.  Lobman may have the last laugh if we go by the “2 Year Rule” that Dochney, and now apparently Odom live by.  Because a good position player will always be more valuable than a 1, maybe 2 category closer.  Simple math, you win more categories you win the matchup.

 

 

 

TRADE #2

 

OGTFC (SAD!) traded Eric Thames MIL 1B-LF to WOOD

WOOD Traded Jeurys Familia NYM RP to OGTFC (SAD!)

 

JF

 

 

Eric Thames – MIL 1B-LF

30 Years Old, turning 31 in November

.236/.348/.507, 28 HR, 54 RBI, 22 2Bs

The former Korean League MVP came out blazing in his return to REAL BASEBALL.  But by June we realized who gives a shit about Korean baseball and it seemed the league figured out this guy.  This guy’s month by month splits make me sick.  He was phenomenal in April, like best player in baseball phenomenal.  He belted 11 dingers and put up a .345/.466/810 slash line in April.  But then the honeymoon ended and he came right down to earth every other month.  His triple slash line looked decent in July, but then you go on to see this “slugger” had 4 HRs and 5 RBI for that month of July.  5 RBI! Carried by a big April, his pre-all-star game stats were 23 HRs, 43 RBI, 15 2Bs, with a slash line of .248/.374/.562.  After the all-star break has been a different story.  He has had 5 HRs, 11 RBIs, 7 2Bs, with a slash line of .212/.294/.404.  One may question if this guy is even rosterable with a second half like that.  But who knows maybe he has another hot start next year and we forget about that second half.  Weirder things have happened!

 

Jeurys Familia – NYM RP

27 Years Old, 28 in October

Who cares about stats this year, it was a lost season due to injury and domestic violence.

Familia was a stud closer for the Mets in 2015 and 2016, amassing 94 saves in those 2 seasons.  If healthy, this is a great buy low candidate for the Devil in Ocean Gate (6-6-6 record).  Familia has a career SO/9 rate of 9.1 which is not too shabby to go with his career 2.62 era.  The question is if the Mets will be good again in 2018 or at least good enough for him to have more save opportunities.  I don’t know what else to say besides I love the Mets.

 

Analysis

The people voted 4-3 in favor of Greg winning the deal in acquiring Familia.  I tend to think closers hold more value to the team they are on compared to the trade market, because let’s face it, they are a roster spot that you’re trying to gain 1 category advantage usually.  I would love to side with Shane on this one for getting a hitter, but who knows if this hitter rebounds and is even a starter next year.  If Familia is healthy and back to closing, he will be on Greg’s roster for the entirety of next season.  I get the feeling that Thames is not going to rebound and will hit the waiver wire by June, maybe even May!  Greg gets my very important, very well-respected vote for this trade.

 

 

TRADE #3

 

X*RAYZ traded Daniel Murphy, WSH 2B to WOOD

X*RAYZ traded Beau Burrows, DET P to WOOD

WOOD traded Corey Dickerson, TBR LF to X*RAYZ

WOOD traded Dinelson Lamet, SDP SP to X*RAYZ

WOOD traded Willy Adames, TBR SS to X*RAYZ

WOOD traded First Overall Selection in Spring Draft to X*RAYZ

WOOD traded First Overall Selection in Rights Draft to X*RAYZ

 

DM

 

Daniel Murphy – WSH 2B

33 Years Old in April

.322/.382/.550, 40 2Bs, 22 HRs, 88 RBIs, 86 Runs

Daniel Murphy is an elite 2B for fantasy purposes.  He was a late bloomer with the beloved Mets and has put together back to back great seasons for the hated Nationals.  He is a guy that the whole league should be happy to have on their roster.  The only downside to Murphy is his God-loving, homosexual-hating ways.  Oh, and his age!  This guy is not getting any younger, and we may have seen the best of what this homophobic second baseman has to offer.  He still has some good seasons left in the tank, maybe even 1 or 2 more great seasons.  But father time will catch up to him, like he does to all of us, and Murphy’s stats will start to slip in the next few seasons.

 

Beau Burrows – DET SP

21 Years Old in like a week

135 IP, 137 Ks, 3.20 ERA, 9.1 SO/9 in A+ and AA

Honestly who cares about this guy, not much excitement around him as a prospect.  He is just a prospect that is a sweetener for a Tigers fan in a trade.  Evidenced by his availability last week until Odom was caught cheating and was forced to add other minor leaguers.  Give Beau credit, decent minor league numbers this year even though he experienced a bit of a dip when moved up to AA ball, but he isn’t the first prospect this has happened too.  I do not hate the guy, for he has decent K numbers and who knows, maybe he settles down starting in AA next year and improves his numbers from his first taste, which saw him pitch to a 4.72 ERA.

 

Corey Dickerson – TBR LF

28 Years Old

.282/.328/.503, 32 2Bs, 26 HRs, 60 RBIs,

Hey guys, I like Corey Dickerson, he helped me get the first overall selection in the Rights Player Draft last July, ironic how now he would be traded along with the next 2 FIRST OVERALL PICKS IN BACKYARD DRAFTS.  Corey does not excite me all that much.  He is another Jekyll and Hyde type player, nice first half, followed by a rough second half.  First half he slashed .312/.355/.548, with 24 2Bs, 17 HRs, 42 RBIs.  His post all-star game numbers are not as nice.  He slashed .229/.278/.422, with 9 HRs, 18 RBIs, and 8 2Bs.  I get real skeptical when players have such poor second halves to a season.  Shows they are not making the adjustments they need to make to be successful.  I’m afraid Corey Dickerson may not be that good, but trust me, he was not the big return for Odom in this deal.  I truly believe he is a filler that Odom is hoping he gets a nice month or 2 out of before he hits the waiver wire next season.

 

Dinelson Lamet – SDP SP

25 Years Old

4.32 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 98 IP, 123 Ks, 11.3 SO/9

I love this guy’s strike out rate!  Nice little underrated pitcher to have here.  He is a young pitcher that will only get better pitching in a friendly environment like PETCO.  He will not turn 26 until around the 2018 all-star break and there is solid upside to this guy.  98 innings is not a huge sample size, but it is a solid half season to believe in his K numbers.  Lamet needs to cut down on the walks numbers moving forward, which currently sit at 4.1 BB/9 through his first season.  These rates coincided with his 2017 AAA numbers of 4.6 BB/9, and 11.5 SO/9.  There is improvement that is needed, but plenty to like in this young pitcher.

 

Willy Adames – TBR SS

22 Years Old

.277/.360/.415, 30 2Bs, 5 3Bs, 10 HRs, 11 SB in AAA

This is a guy that Odom once traded in part of a 3 team deal to bring Mark Trumbo to Point Loma.  Trumbo has since been waived and who knows where he is now, I don’t have time to search that shit. Adames is a nice little prospect here.  As of the midseason rankings, Adames ranked as the 17th prospect according to MLB.com, 13th by Baseball America, and 26th by Baseball Prospectus.  Willy has a little pop with maybe a little more to grow as he progresses.  He had a nice season in AAA and should be the Rays SS of the future starting early next season.

 

Spring 1st Overall Pick

The trade market has been disappointingly stagnant in the most recent 2 trade deadlines.  In this humble stud’s opinion, all that means is that draft picks are more important than ever in building your team roster foundation.  There are some solid prospects right now whose rights are not owned and will be available in this draft.  Who knows maybe there is a nice international free agent to come over, and Odom will get first stab at that dude.  The Cheater will have the pick of the bunch for this draft, and that is a not a bad advantage to have.

 

Rights Draft 1st Overall Pick

I have never been a part of a Spring draft, but the Rights Draft seems to be super juicy, especially for those with high draft picks.  Half way through the season, you have the advantage to see who is a breakout candidate.  May I suggest that the Japanese Babe Ruth, Shohei Otani does not come over this offseason to the MLB, causing his rights to go back into the rights pool to become easy pickings for Odom to take!

 

Analysis

The chat voted 5 to 3 in favor of Shane for this trade, but I am going to disagree with the chat, and let you all know why at least 5 of you got this one wrong.  Daniel Murphy is the best player being exchanged in this trade, as of today.  But that doesn’t mean the chat is right in thinking Shane won this trade.  I fully believe that Odom made a very savvy move in selling on Murphy.  Odom may have been able to get more for the 2018 season in exchange for Murphy, but that doesn’t mean he will not be sitting alright in the long run here.  Murphy is about to turn 33 and he is not getting any younger.  2016 was the best season of Murphy’s career, and it is going to stay that way moving forward.  It is better to move a player a year to early rather than a year to late.  Murphy is a nice player.  He will help Shane’s team in 2018.  But Odom received potentially 3 top prospects, 1 OF WHICH MAY VERY WELL BE THE COVETED OTANI!  There is no chance in hell Shane gets a return like that for Murphy this time next season.

Kudos to Shane for not having to move Carlos Martinez, Happ or Vlad Guererro Jr in this deal.  That is a win right there in itself.  But when it comes down to it, Shane only had 3 wins last season and needs to build up trade chips and acquire some YOUNG talent.  One can acquire talent and trade chips through DRAFTS.  As of right now, Shane will not have a first round pick in the next 2 drafts, and some of his best talent is Greinke and JD Martinez, who are both on the wrong side of 30.  Murphy will improve his roster in the short term, but he just took himself out of a chance for an elite talent like Otani.  Call me crazy, I get the feeling that Otani will not accept a 10 million dollar offer to come over to the MLB next year, but wait a year to receive 150 – 200 million dollars to come play here.  I don’t know why, but the math just makes sense to me.  Why leave that much money on the table, I don’t care who you are, money talks.  If this trade was looked at as potentially Otani for Murphy, I bet most of the league would say acquiring Otani would be the winner.  Odom may have just got Otani, plus 2 other top prospects, plus a nice little K machine named Dinelson Lamet.  Worst case scenario, Otani comes over to the MLB this offseason for Rojo to roster, and Odom still gets 3 top prospects and Lamet.  Good job Odom.

 

 

TRADE #4

 

BPMZ Traded Ronal Acuna, ATL CF to LTBS

LTBS Traded Jonathon Villar, MIL 2B to BPMZ

LTBS Traded Aaron Nola, PHI SP to BPMZ

LTBS Traded Fernando Tatis Jr, SDP SS to BPMZ

 

acuna2

 

Jonathon Villar – MIL 2B

26 Years Old

.241/.293/.372, 16 2Bs, 11 HRs, 23 SB

Villar has seen the best of times and the worst of times over the tale of 2 seasons.  Last year he was a fantasy stud who hit 19 HRs, and stole 62 bases. This year, well you see his stats up there.  Still a big-time source of stolen bases even when having a down season.  He has lost a lot of playing time this year because of his play, but Neil Walker is a free agent at the end of the season and Villar presumably will slot back in the starting 2B gig.  He might not be as good as last season, but he certainly isn’t as bad as this season.

 

Aaron Nola – PHI SP

24 Years Old

148 IP, 156 Ks, 3.71 ERA, 3.26 FIP, 9.5 SO/9, 2.6 BB/9

Breaking news, Aaron Nola is good.  It was tough to give up Louisiana Lightning.  This guy has a big-time curveball that he uses 30% of his pitches.  A 49.9% groundball rate in 2017, which is lower than his career norm.  He doesn’t pitch in a pitcher’s park by any means, but this guy is good and still has a lot of room to grow. I like the groundball plus strike out rates that he possesses, and he does not walk many batters.  Good job Sean for squeezing him out of me.  I already hate giving him up.

 

Fernando Tatis Jr. – SDP SS

18 Years Old

.278/.379/.498, 27 2Bs, 7 3Bs, 22 HR, 32 SB, 15 CS between A and AA

Fernando Tatis is a very young prospect who broke out this year to see himself start climbing up the prospect lists (55 on MLB.com, 100 on BA midseason list).  Tatis is a very good prospect who will only see his status grow in the next few years.  He has good power from the SS position, but will most likely be moving to 3B by the time he makes it to the majors.  He has the bloodline to make it as a good MLB player.  I do not think the steals will be there as much as he gets to the higher levels of the minors.  He could also cut down on the Ks, but seeing 77 BBs this season shows he has an advanced approach at the plate at a real young age.

 

Ronald Acuna – ATL CF

19 Years Old

.325/.374/.522, 31 2Bs, 8 3Bs, 21 HRs, 44 SB across A, AA, and AAA

Quite possibly the best prospect in all of baseball.  This guy has hit since he was 17 years old, but the power showed up this season in the form of 60 XBHs.  This kid has all the tools to be a stud and this owner is hoping we will be renaming the J-Roll award after him.  There is a lot to love about this guy, with a lot of room to still grow for the teenager.  But was the price to acquire him too high?

 

Analysis

The league voted that the new Sean (Dochney) won this trade in a 4-3 vote.  I swung the vote by voting for myself in this poll, because why wouldn’t I vote for myself?  But if I were being honest, the Mooninitez won this deal.  The price was huge for a guy who hasn’t stepped foot on an MLB field.  Sean McLaughlin capitalized on the hype machine and got a huge return for Acuna, and good for him.  I would feel a lot better about this deal for myself if I didn’t have to give up Nola, but Sean was insistent on his inclusion, and he got his guy.  I am hoping Acuna hits the ground running when he makes it to the show and we see Mookie Betts, not Byron Buxton (credit to Buxton for being a stud in the last 2 Septembers though).   Dochney gave up too much to get this guy, and it will only be worth it if Acuna becomes a superstar.

Would also like to take a moment to go back to the midseason Pollock trade for all you haters out there.  The pick received in that trade became Tatis Jr., who later is a part of the Acuna deal.  Moving Pollock (who is overrated and has already seen his best baseball) got me the trade chips to land a potential 5 tool superstar.  2-year rule in affect for judging the tangled web of trades here.

 

 

TRADE #5

 

X*RAYZ Traded Walker Buehler, LAD P to LTBS

LTBS Traded Adam Duvall, CIN LF to X*RAYZ

 

AD

 

Adam Duvall – CIN LF

Just turned 29 Years Old.

.250/.299/.497, 33 2Bs, 3 3Bs, 31 HRs, 74 Runs, 94 RBIs

Duvall is underrated in this league because his OBP sucks.  But OBP is just 1 category, and Duvall helps a lot in the counting stat categories.  He may not be sexy, but he instantly becomes the X*Rayz top slugger on his roster.  And Odom won the league (albeit controversially) while having the 9th ranked OBP in the league.  Adam Duvall is no fluke either, this is the 2nd year in a row he is a full-time starter, and the 2nd year in a row that he will have over 30 2Bs, 30 HRs, and 100 RBIs.  Duvall is good, and plays in the hitter friendly confines of Great American Ballpark.  He will be 29 for most of next season as well.  Contrary to popular belief, he is not the same player as teammate Scott Schebler (Editor’s note:  No he is though.).  Duvall is a good power bat who will keep benefitting from hitting behind the Walking Red, which guarantees Duvall to have more and more RBI opportunities.  (Whatever Duvall been slumping and moved down the lineup and is not batting behind Votto right now, don’t ever fact check my claims!)

 

Walker Buehler – LAD P

23 Years Old

3.35 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 88.2 IP, 125 Ks, 12.7 K/9, 3.1 BB/9 between A+, AA, and AAA

This guy slipped in the draft a few years back because of an elbow injury that people knew he would need TJ Surgery for.  He watched his Vanderbilt teammates Dansby Swanson and the bum Carson Fulmer get drafted in front of him.  Make no mistake, going into that final Vanderbilt season before injury Buehler was the guy, not Carson Fulmer.  Buehler recently received a call up to the big club, and will pitch out the bullpen the rest of the season.  He looks like a front rotation starter moving forward though, possibly forming an Ace 1 and Ace 2 with Kershaw much like when the Dodgers had Greinke.  I said it, subtle Greinke comp there even though I don’t like doing comps.

 

Analysis

Well I love this deal for myself, and so did everyone else in the poll from the chat.  I get a potential future ace to go along with the other stud prospects I have.  Odom gets an underrated slugger who will help him out next season, but paid a huge price in what could become a star pitcher.  The Backdoor Sliderz have built themselves up an impressive farm system during their first year in the league, but they have also paid a big price in doing so.  Not all prospects are can’t miss, and here’s to hoping these guys become fantasy studs for years to come.

 

 

 

So there you have it folks, the owner of the Lacey Township BackdoorSliderz VALIANTLY contributing a trade review on a bunch of different trades SEVERAL OF WHICH coincidentally included the Lacey Township BackdoorSliderz.  I will leave it up to our loyal leaders to determine how much his bias was or was not showing (I think he did fine and objective work) but I will NOT leave it up to you schmucks to decide whether or not he deserves a round of applause for stepping up to the plate and providing us with a #ContentMonday. He deserves a round of applause. Please give him a round of applause regardless of where you are reading this right now. I am proud of him.

 

images 

OFFSEASON TRAAAAADE REVIEW: HIS DOCHNESS EDITION

2017 TRADE DEADLINE REVIEW BONANZA: NOW WITH LESS REVIEWS BECAUSE EVERYONE WAS GUN-SHY!

Seller, Buyer Green Road Sign Over Dramatic Clouds and Sky.
Yet another trade deadline has passed, and this one seemed far less frenzied then year’s past and maybe that is because of the newfound dynasty system and maybe that is a good thing. And maybe I don’t even know what I am talking about because I was riding around on a jet ski around the time of the deadline and to be honest I am still not sure what all of the trades were as I write this particular sentence. I also don’t think everyone properly heeded my brilliants BUYERS/SELLERS COLUMN from a few weeks ago, and that will be addressed as well. LET’S LOOK AT THE DEALS I’ve yet to address before dochney yells at me, SHALL WE??????? WE SHALL….

 

 

THE TRADE (7/27):

 

#1 (this is Greg, Greg let it go little buddy)traded Carlos Gonzalez, Col RF to RRF
#1 (this is Greg, Greg it is okay) traded Madison Bumgarner, SF SP to RRF
RRF traded Yasiel Puig, LAD RF to #1 (this is Greg, Greg it’s not your fault)
RRF traded Kyle Schwarber, ChC LF to #1 (it’s not your fault)
RRF traded David Phelps, Sea RP to #1 (it’s not your fault)
RRF traded Michael Fulmer, Det SP to #1 (it’s not your fault)

(it’s a little bit your fault)

 

NOTES/MAJOR LEAGUE COMPS:

 

CARLOS GONZALEZ, is now terrible and has no business being in any trades…..

MADBUM, back from that freak injury now and still JUST turning 28 and JUST AS GOOD as he’s ever been…..Ks are down slightly, ERA is about where it has always been, getting hit a bit harder than usual but allll in all still a very excellent pitcher and should remain top 5 or top 10 for years to come…..

Yasiel Puig and Kyle Schwarber, two buy-low guys that once had sky-high stocks in the fantasy world, also two guys who have pulled their numbers up to a bit more respectable than I had previously thought, so I am lumping them together here. One’s 26.7 one’s 24.33, one has 19 HRs/11 SBs one has 17 HRs and a .302 OBP (.187 AVG)….both have room to be better both through the rest of this season and into the future, and in fact both have already been much better in the 2nd half of this season vs. the first half…..they remain names to watch  in this part…..

David Phelps for the second year in a row a desirable fantasy piece, due to his ability to continue ending up as an SP-eligible Holds guy…..9.88 K/9, 3.53 ERA (3.46 FIP), 19 Holds, 2 Ws in 51 IP this season…..was shipped from the Marlins to the Mariners but he remains in the mix for Holds there…..a WIN NOW or at least MAKE THE PLAYOFFS NOW acquisition as he should lose the SP eligibility in ’18

Michael Fulmer is arguably the best non MadBum talent here, a 24.33 year old righty for the Tigers that I once released after he hit his minors innings limit…..6.43 K/9, 3.35 ERA (3.34 FIP), 10-8, 17 QS, 1 CG in 134.1 IP this year…..as you can see the Ks have disappeared which ain’t great, but he’s still pitching to a 3.3 ERA and it’s backed up by the underlying numbers (only given up 9 HRs for example)…..could be very good for a good while, not MadBum good BUT PRETTY GOOD

 

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

The OceanGate Trout Fishing Club were determined not to succumb to their injuries at this deadline (see more below) and you can’t fault them for that. Rojo’s Renegade Force saw an opportunity to add a top 5 fantasy starter who is not quite 28 and you certainly can’t fault them for that either. The OGTFC knew they needed to inject some offense, and with Gregory Polanco and Trea Turner and Jason Kipnis on the DL they certainly have the space to try out some new bats, and it wouldn’t be out of the question for both Puig and Schwarber to bring their stock back up to the point where they could even be traded once again in the offseason if the OGTFC can’t find the room for them. At the same time these weren’t names RRF were terribly attached to, as they are seemingly taking the approach of attempting to ride whatever hot bats are available into the playoffs FUTURE BE DAMNED. With all of that in mind, despite liking the trade a lot for both parties, I will continue to side with the team that acquires the top 5 ace:  Rojo’s Renegade Force.

 

 

 

 

 

 

THE TRADE (7/29):

 

LTBS traded Brian Dozier, Min 2B to #1 (this is Greg, Greg you’re better than this….)
#1 (this is Greg, Greg we get it this things haven’t gone as planned) traded Justin Turner, LAD 3B to LTBS
#1 (this is Greg, Greg when God closes a door he opens a window or something) traded Brendan Rodgers, Col SS to LTBS

 

NOTES/MAJOR LEAGUE COMPS:

 

Brian Dozier is a player I have long wanted to acquire but I haven’t acquired him and now the dreaded OGTFC have em, he is 30…..he was also like JUST traded so I am gonna steal that writing:

“30 year old 2B for the Twins and the man that went fucking NUTS last summer. .333 OBP, 17 2Bs, 13 HRs, 37 Rs, 39 RBIs, 10 SBs in 315 ABs thus far this season. Had 14 HRs in the first half last season then went on to double that in the 2nd half, WHICH would be a mighty helpful push for a playoff team or playoff hopeful. Not at all saying that is going to happen though, but what I ammmm saying is any talk that Dozier is washed up or whatever is kinda silly. He won’t have his 2016 but he’s well on pace for sayyyy his 2014, which was a 20-20 season, and 10+-10+ guys aren’t just growing on trees at this point in the year. Top 5ish top 8ish second basemen.”

Justin Turner is a guy I released and kinda wish I didn’t given the way the roster has fluctuated since then and yes I am making all of these all about me…..FUCKING .455 OBP, 19 2Bs, 11 HRs, 45 Rs, 41 RBIs, 2 SBs in 278 ABs…..he’s lost some time to injury and the power has been a bit depleted from a HR perspective, but Doubles are there and MAH GAWD that OBP…..that OBP plays in an OBP league, it’s a weeee bit of a mirage (.374 BABIP) but two years ago he ran a .404 BABIP across a similar numbers of ABs so MEH he could keep that number elevated…..the man hits a lot of liners and liners are good for BABIP…..don’t really have much else to say here, I heart Justin Turner and I think you should too…..

Brendan Rodgers,  soon to be 21 and the Rox top prospect according to I assume everyone (#7 overall BA, #6 BP, #9 MLB.com)…...324 OBP, 5 HRs in 124 AA ABs following a .419 OBP (.400 AVG), 12 HRs in 210 A+ ABs…..so MOVING RIGHT ALONG, coming soon to take Trevor Story‘s job…..how soon that will be I am not entirely sure, but the point is everyone thinks the guy will hit at the MLB level and I’ve seen the tools considered to be similar to Gleyber Torres…..will also have the Coors advantage…..Major League Comparison:  A MUCH BETTER TREVOR STORY. I am so mean to Trevor Story. No for real though I am unfortunately going with the other former Rox SS, Troy Tulowitzki….the Rox will hope a more durable version.

 

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

I LIKE THIS ONE A LOT for both sides yet again, which is unfortunate cuz I still have to pick one. And so I think I have to pick Lacey Township BackdoorSliderz, here’s why gang:  Basically cuzzzzz Rodgers has a chance to be really really good in the future and Turner has been almost as valuable as Dozier this particular season, albeit at slightly different positions. Turner was a super late bloomer so he’s really only been worth something the past like 3 seasons, and he is already just about 33, but for a team like Lacey with Altuve (and to a lesser extent Villar) already entrenched at the primary middle infield spots Dozier almost becomes a bit of a luxury. I don’t blame the OGTFC for wanting to acquire him, and it could very well pay off for them in the short term…..particularly if he’s about to embark on an August similar to last season’s August. But Rodgers might hurt down the line and Justin Turner might be as valuable or more valuable than Dozier for the rest of this season and for those reasons, I side with the souther NJ franchise.

 

 

 

 

 

THE TRADE (7/29):

 

WOOD traded Justin Verlander, Det SP to #1 (this is Greg, really Greg?)
#1 (this is Greg, Greg strong men also cry) traded Ian Happ, ChC LF to WOOD

 

NOTES/MAJOR LEAGUE COMPS:

 

Justin Verlander is a guy I OUTRIGHT RELEASED, 34.5 years old and having an up and down season…..6-7, 4.29 ERA (4.14 FIP), 126 Ks in 130 IP (8.72 K/9), 13 QS…..Admittedly he has been pitching MUCH BETTER since pretty much the moment I dropped him, 4 QS in his last 5 starts and 34 Ks in 32 IP…..so once again he has positioned himself as a deadline piece for a playoff hopeful to acquire and once again one acquired him…..

Ian Happ is a just-about 23 year old 2B/OF for the Cubs enjoying his first taste of the big leagues, he’s been up since mid-May….. .320 OBP, 12 2Bs, 2 3Bs, 13 HRs, 31 Rs, 34 RBIs, 5 SBs in 223 ABs…..he was likeee the Cubs 2nd best prospect heading into the season, #63 overall according to Baseball America, I dunno what that makes him now JUST A GUY I think…..but a guy that has shown a bit of pop in his rookie season, and some versatility, and those things can play well in fantasy…..since he just broke into the bigs this season eels like I should throw in a comp and it’s going to be the super obvious one….Major League Comparison:  Ben Zobrist.

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

I like the Q-Tip City Morning Wood side of this one best. Let us get that out of the way early. Verlander was the quintessential “guy that should be moved from last place team at the deadline” and getting Ian Happ is a NOT TOO SHABBY at all return, the real Cubs would probably balk at such a price. And for the OGTFC they grabbed Verlander cuz I dunno, they are grasping at straws and finally got tired of Dylan Bundy and yada yada yada. So the QTCMW are the side I side with here. BUT, this doesn’t excuse the relative lack of selling that took place in Q-Tip City at this year’s deadline almost in PETTY DEFIANCE of my article. It just so happens that I know a few of the offers that came in for Zack Greinke, I am not going to go so far as to name the other names but REST ASSURED I AM DISGUSTED that he is still in Q-Tip City. He may look 22 but he is in fact old and plays his home games in a hitter’s park and you should have traded that man before the wheels fell off a la ohhh I dunno like the 2nd half of 2016. When he is dropped next season in early June I will name the names. I think he should have been moved. I also think a guy like Felix Hernandez should have been moved if anything of future value could be acquired for him, ditto really ANY reliever that you could get some upgrades for because that is a team in need of many many upgrades. But what do I know. GOOD JOB ON THE VERLANDER THING THOUGH.

 

 

 

 

 

So let this serve as my official Trade Deadline Review, and I gotta tell ya earlier in the season I was terribly worried that there would be 20 deals and my fingers would hurt from writing about them given the verbose Trade Reviews I had been occasionally cranking out. And mercifully, I guess, this trade deadline was a big disappointment and this wasn’t too intensive. THE FUTURE OF THE BLOG may still end up with some sort of monthly trade reviews only type situation, whom knows, but I just want to take this opportunity to say it has been a pleasure getting to critique everyone’s every move in a public forum even while making my own easy-to-critique moves. In the end the league mantra is that everyone should just “manage their own damn team” and I hope all that I have critiqued know that it is all in good fun, truthfully I could give a shit what you do with your rosters. I could also give a shit if you give a shit about me talking shit about what you do with your rosters. ALL IN GOOD FUN. SEE YOU WHEN TRADES OPEN UP FOLLOWING THE CONCLUSION OF THE PLAYOFFS MAYBE OR SOMETHING WHO KNOWS HOW THAT WORKS EXACTLY WE ARE FEELING OUR WAY THROUGH THIS DYNASTY THING.

 

 

 

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One last time…….

 

 

 

 

2017 TRADE DEADLINE REVIEW BONANZA: NOW WITH LESS REVIEWS BECAUSE EVERYONE WAS GUN-SHY!

TRADE REVIEW: SECOND PIN TO DROP OF THE TRADE DEADLINE? EDITION? ALSO SECOND WISHING OF HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO COMMISH ODOM EDITION

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AGAIN JUST CANNOT WISH ENOUGH OF THE BIRTHDAY WISHES TO OUR FUHRER OUR EMPEROR OUR SUPREME DIGNITY OUR COMMISSIONER A ONE MIKE ODOM. LONG MAY HE LIVE LONG MAY HE REIGN. FOR A BIRTHDAY PRESENT I WILL NOW REVIEW A TRADE IN WHICH I UNDOUBTEDLY SHOULD HAVE SHOPPED MORE AND ADDED A PROSPECT JUST FOR THE SAKE OF APPEASING THE MASSES. LET’S LOOK….

 

 

THE TRADE (7/27):

 

MOON dropped Jose Reyes, NYM 3B to Waivers
WOOD traded Felipe Rivero, Pit RP to MOON
MOON traded Alex Reyes*, StL SP to WOOD

 

NOTES/MAJOR LEAGUE COMPS:

 

Felipe Rivero aka the best closer nobody gives a shit about, 26 years old aka IN HIS PRIME…..10.25 K/9, 0.68 ERA, 14 Holds, 9 Saves, 4 Ws in 52.2 IP this season…..I’m into him more for the other stuff, set the min. innings to 50 and he has the lowest WHIP in baseball (0.70)…..now is where I point out that is OBVIOUSLY CHERRYPICKING, most relievers have slightly less than 50 IP this season….so set it to 40 and he’s just like 9th in FIP (2.28), 9th in Swinging Strike % (16.1%)…..point is I see a whole lot of Andrew Miller in him and I don’t think those goddamned OGTFC were going to part with Miller for Reyes so here we are…..

 

The prize of the trade is, IF POLLING IS TO BE TRUSTED, soon to be 23 year old Alex Reyes…..recovering from TJ but seems to be recovering nicely…..1.57 ERA (2.67 FIP), 10.17 K/9 across 46 IP in 2016…..still the Cards top prospect, still rated very highly on prospect lists but I don’t want to look up exact numbers for fear of getting sad about it…..should be prettttty damned good so long as the arm returns healthy (which might require some mechanical changes SEE HORRIFYING TOMMY JOHN TWIST THING BELOW), even if the fastball loses a few ticks…..probably will be on an innings limit if he makes it back at all in 2018, ergo likely wouldn’t be pitching deep into games ergo likely will be kinda useless until 2019 at the earliest….Major League Comparison:  Noah Syndergaard. Remind me to try and trade for Noah Syndergaard this offseason.

Sean’s half-assed attempt at trade justification:  http://www.chrisoleary.com/pitching/PIP/Overviews/Reyes_Alex_PitchingMechanics.html

 

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

So WHY? WHY DO YOU DO THIS SEAN? You do this because you really like Felipe Rivero SO MUCH SO that you don’t care about haggling over additional pieces, and you do it because you don’t necessarily expect Reyes to contribute in 2018 and you can’t see that far ahead of things to wait on a possible trade window. You also do it because you were tired of waiting on another trade to go through. And if you are the Morning Wood, you accept this trade nigh IMMEDIATELY because you’re smarter than some of your previous transactions might seem to indicate. There will be another Rivero to come from nowhere next year, and really losing teams in fantasy should take a cue from losing teams in the majors and part with most of their relievers whenever possible (assuming those relievers aren’t like Jansen Kimbrel Chapman Miller etc. etc. etc. ONLY THE CREAM OF THE CROP. So the QTCMW did the right thing here, get themselves a potential future ace at a TJ discount. Even if the MooniniteZ had serious reservations about the future of Mr. Reyes it isn’t like they achieved some sort of massive haul with that in mind, they went with a quick WIN NOW reliever pickup and called it a day. Ergo I side with the Morning Wood here, with the caveat that if I win the championship this season it doesn’t fucking matter if Reyes is the next Noah Syndergaard or some shit.

 

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ALSO REVIEWED.

 

 

TRADE REVIEW: SECOND PIN TO DROP OF THE TRADE DEADLINE? EDITION? ALSO SECOND WISHING OF HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO COMMISH ODOM EDITION