2018 Spring Draft (Rights Mock) by Mitch Russo

After gathering information and listening to GMs during the offseason, I’m finally ready to put pen to ink and bathe myself in some rumor and innuendo. Some slots are based on projected forfeiture of rights by teams prior to the draft. I’ve heard enough from reputable sources to justify my projections. Without further adieu, our first mock draft.

1. Toms River TBD- Pavin Smith, 1B, Diamondbacks

21 year old that has a good bat projection, especially if pop comes along. The pitching wealthy Artist Formerly Known As the Titans would love to pair Pavin in their pipeline with last years #5 overall ASB selection, 1B Brendan McKay, as they look to fortify their offensive attack.

2. Point Loma X-Rayz: Forrest Whitley, SP, Astros

It’s no secret X-Rayz GM loves trees, so it’s of no surprise Forrest Whitley is at the top of his draft board. Add that to the fact that he’s 6’7″ and has been a K-Gun in the minors thus far, it’s easy to see why Point Loma has pegged him this high.

3. Rojo’s Renegades: Yoshihisa Hirano, RP, Diamondbacks

Another thing that is no secret: Renegades management LOVES holds. Considering the Renegades have the most open rights slots to fill (by my projections), they can afford to use this high selection on a “non-prospect” due to his seemingly defined bullpen role and minor league eligibility. After just missing the 2017 postseason, a win now move like this makes a lot of sense.

4. OGTFC: Jesus Sanchez, OF, Rays

One of the hardest, if not the hardest, teams to project. And unfortunately for me they’ve shrewdly gone and acquired back to back picks in the Spring Draft. Let’s just randomly link them to this super talented Rays outfielder and hope for the best.

5. OGTFC: Bubba Thompson, OF, Rangers

I DIDN’T WRITE THIS TO AVOID THE TOUGH QUESTIONS. So let’s link Heroy to another random player and hope for the best. The former two way athlete could appeal to Ocean Gate scouts, and their insane value on Trea Turner leads me to believe they are still on the hunt for long term steal guys. WHAT THE HELL why not.

6. Banana Slugs- J.B. Bukauskas, SP, Astros

With a stocked offensive pipeline, and their Major League aces aging with every year, I see a flamethrower in this slot to the Slugs. I am throwing J.B. in here, since I’ve just got a gut feeling his stuff would appeal to management down there. Disclaimer: YES I KNOW YOU HAVE BRENT HONEYWELL

7. Isotopes- Chance Adams, SP, Yankees

8. Toms River TBD- Adam Haseley, OF, Phillies

Haseley seems to be much better on paper than Mickey Moniak (who went #1 in the Spring 2017 Backyard Draft 🙄) , and the Titans would be very happy to walk away from this draft with a bat like Pavin and a toolsy OF like Haseley.

9. Rojo’s Renegades- Keston Hiura, 2B, Brewers

The savvy Rojo can easily snag the Major League ready Hirano at #3 and still scoop up the tremendous bat of Hiura here with their next pick. The .422 OBP in the minors thus far won’t be what sell this man to team management, it’s going to be the fact that Hiura is half Japanese and half Chinese!

10. Isotopes- Ian Anderson, SP, Braves

No, I did not forget to write a blurb for Mikey T’s first pick. There was simply nothing else that needed to be said. CLOSE to the same here. Once ‘Topes management stumbles upon the fact that Anderson went #3 overall in the 2016 MLB draft to the Braves they will slowly submit their god damn draft card for the second year in a row I’m sure.

11. Rojo’s Renegades- Jake Burger, 3B, White Sox

After dropping Nick Pratto, the Renegades add another corner IF with some long term pop projection. The ghost of the WVU Bombers will never die, and this team will forever want boppers at heart.

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2018 Spring Draft (Rights Mock) by Mitch Russo

Trade Review: Holiday Edition

(Note: This isn’t holiday related in any way, shape, or form. I just wanted to continue to wage war on Christmas by saying Holiday. Carry on)

From the desk of Sean “Hannity” Dochney: 

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Trade Reviews from October to December

By Sean Dochney

 

Sean #2 is back again to give his opinion on the trades that went down from October until now.  I know this is what everyone has been eagerly waiting for since the last time I dabbled in the blog, so without further ado…..

Barnegat Banana Slugs receive AJ Minter and Mike Soroka

Bellcrest Park Mooninites receive Marwin Gonzalez and Mitch Garver

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AJ Minter – P ATL

24 years old

2017 Stats – MLB 15 IP, 3.00 ERA, 26 Ks, 15.6 SO/9, 1.2 BB/9

Minors (A-, A+, AA, AAA) 24.1 IP, 3.33 ERA, 11.1 SO/9, 4.4 BB/9

Possibly a nice little high minor holds guy for the beginning of next season.  Had a nice debut in a small sample size.  His K rates and Walk rates from his first cup of coffee may not be sustainable as evidenced by his minor league numbers, although he still had very good K rate in the minors.

Mike Soroka – P ATL

20 years old

2017 Stats – (AA) 11-8, 153.2 IP, 2.75 ERA, 125 Ks, 7.3 SO/9, 2.0 BB/9

This is a young arm that I personally like.  Soroka is a former first round pick who was one of the younger players in the Southern League last season, and pitched very effectively.  His K rates lead a lot to be desired, but he is still young and learning how to pitch.  Seems to have a ceiling of a solid mid rotation starter.  Will he be a fantasy stud?  Probably not, unless he increases his K rates, but he will be a solid option to have.  You all love your comparisons, so let’s say Kyle Hendricks potential, and if you don’t like that comp, then don’t ask next time (Looking at you other Sean).

Marwin Gonzalez – LF, SS, 1B, 2B, 3B HOU

29 Years Old Opening Day

2017 Stats – .303/.377/.530, .907 OPS, 67 Runs, 34 2Bs, 23 HRs, 90 RBIs, 8 SB

What a breakout performance by this guy.  Set career highs in just about every offensive category, and will carry position eligibility for 5 different positions heading into next season.  I get the feeling last season will be the best of his career, but there is still plenty of value in this guy if he can replicate those power numbers with all that position eligibility he possesses.

 

Mitch Garver – C MIN

27 Years Old Opening Day

2017 Stats – 46 Abs .196/.288/.348, 3 3Bs

Minors – (AAA) 88 Games, .291/.387/.541, .928 OPS, 29 2Bs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs

Not so young catching prospect that still has 84 at bats of high minor eligibility.  Had some real good numbers in his 88 games in the minors last season, especially the power numbers.  We will see if that translates over to the Bigs.  Not a bad flier to take here if he is getting early season at bats for the Twins.  To be honest, I don’t know what the Twins depth chart at catcher looks like today, and it is also not worth my time to look up, but we will say maybe this guy can provide a little bit of value in the Backyard.

 

DOCnalysis (It’s almost like an analysis but better because it’s my opinion)

Marwin Gonzalez is the best player right now and Soroka is no slam dunk to be a fantasy stud, so we will say Sean wins this trade.  But who knows, if Marwin goes back to his 2015 or 2016 self, then he gets dropped and is nothing more then a streaming option.  If that’s the case, then Soroka will end up being the best player in this deal.  Either way, not a deal anyone was wowed by.  Could be a good case of Salty Smitty selling Marwin Gonzalez at his peak though, so I like it enough for both sides.  Salty Smitty is a nickname that might stick after the latest controversy after the referendum, I hope he doesn’t take me to seriously when I say this.  I encourage him to change his name to this on GroupMe, at least for times he is frustrated with the league or me.  Bitter Brian would also work.

 

Lacey Township Backdoor Sliderz receive Robbie Ray and Royce Lewis (Rights)

Point Loma X-Rays Receive Marcel Ozuna

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Robbie Ray – SP ARI

26 Years Old

2017 Stats – 15-5, 162.0 IP, 2.89 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 3.72 FIP, 218 Ks, 12.1 SO/9, 3.9 BB/9

News flash, Robbie Ray is a stud for fantasy.  Man, I love those Ks.  Two straight seasons at 218 Ks is nice to think about moving forward for the young starter.  I am a little concerned about the innings and if he will ever push 200 innings.  I am also not in love with his walk rate, but hey no one is perfect, not even me.  He averages under 6 innings per start, so that is not great, but he will still get his QS.   There are some red flags associated with Ray, especially in an age where pitchers make their living on the DL.  But whatever, fuck it, my pitching sucked at times last year and I really like those K rates.

 

Royce Lewis – SS MIN

18 Years Old

2017 Stats – (Rk and A) 54 games, .279/.381/.407, 54 Runs, 8 2Bs, 3 3Bs, 4 HRs, 27 RBI, 18 SB, 3 CS

First overall selection in the MLB Amateur Draft, but 10th overall selection in the draft that really matters (All Star Break Draft).  Way to small sample size to really care about his numbers, but I would say it was successful.  Seems like a prototype “Rays Ways” guys with his speed, and hopefully there is some power there as well.  He was taken first overall in the draft for a reason by people who know a lot more about baseball then us.  There is good value in this guy, even if it takes years for him to make it to the Show.  We all know how much Dochney likes his teenagers (Prospects! Get your heads out the gutter!), so he doesn’t mind being patient with this guy, and conveniently the minors slots just expanded.

 

Marcel Ozuna – LF STL

27 Years Old

2017 Stats- .312/.376/.548, .924 OPS, 93 Runs, 30 2Bs, 2 3Bs, 37 HRs, 124 RBI

Marcel Ozuna had a great season last year and is one of the better young sluggers in the game.  Ozuna made his second all star team last year but boy this felt like his true breakout campaign that included a lot of career highs.  He is not hitting in that Miami lineup anymore, but he will still have plenty of RBI opportunities in St. Louis.  His OBP kind of came out of nowhere and I think it will drop a little bit.  He did have a career high BABIP at .355, which ranked 9th in the league.  This is awesome, but will he keep this up after a .296 BABIP in 2016? I don’t have the answer, probably why I traded him.  I do think he is capable of duplicating 60 XBH and 100 RBI, and I would guess Odom would be very ok with that.

 

DOCnalysis

Well I always want to side with myself when writing about my trades, but having a little trouble on this one.  I think Odom and I both sold high on young guys who had stellar seasons.  Will Ray keep up his sub-3 era? I am going to say very unlikely.  Will Ozuna have a .370 OBP with 120 RBI?  I am guessing he won’t do that either.  Royce Lewis was the kicker for me to accept this deal, but that doesn’t mean I won this deal.  I will say Odom won this because I find hitters more valuable and the injury risks associated with pitchers scare the shit out of me.  Good job Odom.

 

Bellcrest Mooninites Receive Aroldis Chapman

Point Loma X-Rays Receive Justin Smoak and MacKenzie Gore

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Aroldis Chapman – CP NYY

30 Years Old

2017 Stats – 22 saves, 3.22 ERA, 2.56 FIP, 50.1 IP, 69 SO, 12.3 SO/9, 3.6 BB/9

Chapman is an elite reliever (and elite wife beater), we know he has been for quite a while.  Last season was somewhat of a disappointment to his own standards last year, but he is still very good, and will be closing for a very good team that just injected more power into their lineup.

 

Justin Smoak – 1B TOR

31 Years Old

2017 Stats – .270/.355/.529, .883 OPS, 85 Runs, 29 2Bs, 1 3B, 38 HRs, 90 RBI

Breakout performers on the move have been the theme of offseason trades, and the theme continues with Smoak.  The most impressive thing to me about his 2017 is the drop in K %, which sat at 20.1%.  In 2016 that K % was 32.8%.  I have no idea how this would explain his increase in isolated power, or the 24 more bombs he hit, but I was impressed anyway when I came across this stat.  Will Smoak keep up his breakout?  I am skeptical, but I get the feeling Odom cares a lot more about MacKenzie Gore in this trade anyway.

 

MacKenzie Gore – SP SDP

19 Years Old

2017 Stats – Rookie Ball 0-1, 21.1 IP, 1.27 ERA, 34 Ks, 14.3 SO/9, 3.0 BB/9

Why would Odom want a guy that doesn’t have a single win in his entire professional career, fucking terrible!  Obviously just kidding, talent is oozing out of the number 4 overall draft pick in the most recent MLB Amateur Draft.  Looks like he was only allowed to go 3 innings in each start of the extremely small sample size of his professional career.  The youngster will get a larger body of work next year, and the hope is the high Ks will follow him as he goes up the chain.  This guy has an extremely high ceiling for Odom’s now home town San Diego.  I hate comps, but let’s compare him to – ehhh –  I don’t know Robbie Ray, who Odom just traded.
DOCnalysis

Chapman is such an elite reliever that it looks like he had a bad season last year.  Maybe Yankee fans are just spoiled and overreact about this guy, maybe he is starting to flame out a bit as he ages.  Either way I would love to have Chapman on my roster next year.  I don’t believe in Smoak, but I certainly believe in Gore, and I don’t care if that is an inconvenient truth for some of you (see what I did there?).  Smoak could easily hit waivers by midseason, and we will not see Gore for years, so I guess I will side with Sean receiving Chapman here as the winner, for now (see 2-year rule).

 

Point Loma X-Rays Receive Nicholas Castellanos and Jay Bruce

Q-Tip City Morning Wood Receive Evan Longoria, Adam Duvall and 4th pick ASB

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Nicholas Castellanos – 3B DET

26 Years Old

2017 Stats – .272/.320/.490, .811 OPS, 73 Runs, 36 2Bs, 10 3Bs, 26 HRs, 101 RBIs

Hey, solid year Castellanos, the 10 3Bs shocked me, but I guess it is spacious up there in Detroit.  He is still young and was a big prospect few years ago, and the hope is he can build off last season.  Castellanos is solid moving forward, and a good replacement for Longoria in Point Loma.

 

Jay Bruce – RF FA

31 Years Old

2017 Stats –  .256/.324/.508, .832 OPS, 82 Runs, 29 2Bs, 2 3Bs, 36 HRs, 101 RBI

The one-dimensional free agent did what he does year in and year out, which is provide power.  Odom will gladly take that power on his roster, and we know exactly what the consistent Bruce provides.

 

Evan Longoria – 3B SFG

32 Years Old

2017 Stats –  .261/.313/.424, .737 OPS, 71 Runs, 36 2Bs, 2 3Bs, 20 HRs, 86 RBIs

Little shocked Odom traded his boy here, but boy was it time to trade him after a down year.  Odom will hold his head high that Longoria was on his championship roster, but it was time to move on.  2016 was a great season for Longoria, so it is not out of the question he bounces back in 2018, but I do believe his best days are behind him, especially now that he is playing his home games in San Francisco.

 

Adam Duvall – LF CIN

29 Years Old

2017 Stats – .249/.301/.480, .781 OPS, 78 Runs, 37 2Bs, 3 3Bs, 31 HRs, 99 RBIs

I like Adam Duvall, even reminds me a lot of Jay Bruce.  The power numbers are there to make a difference, but the OBP numbers suck and will probably stay that way.  Let’s see what I wrote about Duvall last time I contributed to the blog, which may have been in like I don’t know September.

Duvall is underrated in this league because his OBP sucks.  But OBP is just 1 category, and Duvall helps a lot in the counting stat categories.  He may not be sexy, but he instantly becomes the X*Rays top slugger on his roster.  And Odom won the league (albeit controversially) while having the 9th ranked OBP in the league.  Adam Duvall is no fluke either, this is the 2nd year in a row he is a full-time starter, and the 2nd year in a row that he will have over 30 2Bs, 30 HRs, and 100 RBIs.  Duvall is good, and plays in the hitter friendly confines of Great American Ballpark.  He will be 29 for most of next season as well.  Contrary to popular belief, he is not the same player as teammate Scott Schebler.  Duvall is a good power bat who will keep benefitting from hitting behind the Walking Red, which guarantees Duvall to have more and more RBI opportunities.  (Whatever Duvall been slumping and moved down the lineup and is not batting behind Votto right now, don’t ever fact check my claims!)

(He didn’t quite get to those 100 RBI)

 

DOCnalysis

Duvall and Bruce kind of cancel each other out in my mind.  Castellanos might be better than old man Longoria moving forward, but I don’t know, maybe Longoria goes back to 2016 form and is better.  I like that Shane thought about the future and got an ASB draft pick here, so I will side with Shane in this deal since the players are close to each other talent wise.  Odom did unload an aging player in Longoria, so I do like that, but not sure he needed to give up the draft pick to do so.  YES, I VALUE DRAFT PICKS AND WILL NOT OVERLOOK THEM IN MY WRITINGS.  Don’t care if these draft picks are years away from fantasy relevance, I am a firm believer in always restocking your pipeline and acquiring up talent, even if that talent is simple trade bait.  This is more true to me now that we have 10 minors slots.

 

Astoria Isotopes Receive Stephen Gonsalves

Ocean Gate Trout Fishing Club Receive 6th draft pick in Spring Draft

 

Stephen Gonsalves – SP MIN

23 Years Old

2017 Stats – (AA, AAA) 9-5, 3.27 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 110.0 IP, 118 Ks, 9.7 SO/9, 2.5 BB/9

Solid pitching prospect, K rates were a little better in minors then I thought and walk rate is solid.  Should debut in Minnesota this season, and time will tell as to how smooth a transition that will be.

 

DOCnalysis

This was a move Heroy made to position himself in the upcoming Spring Draft.  We will hold judgement on the deal until we see what Heroy does, because I do think there are more exciting prospects available in that draft when compared to Gonsalves.  With that said, Gonsalves will presumably be making and impact quicker then whoever is taken in the Spring Draft.

 

Ocean Gate Trout Fishing Club Receive Josh Hader, Kyle Hendricks, and 5th Spring pick

Lacey Township Backdoor Sliderz Receive Gregory Polanco, Steven Matz and 6th Spring Pick

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Josh Hader – P MIL

24 Years Old

2017 Stats – 12 Holds, 2.08 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 3.03 FIP, 47.2 IP, 68 Ks, 12.8 SO/9, 4.2 BB/9

AAA Stats – 12 Starts, 5.37 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 52.0 IP, 51 Ks, 8.8 SO/9, 5.4 BB/9

The curious case of Josh Hader.  He had high K rates but troubling walk rates.  He was lights out coming out of the pen last season as a rookie, but was not so good as a starter in AAA.  Looking at the numbers, looks like those control issues may keep him in the bullpen and out of the rotation, but I would expect he gets a shot to be a starter again at some point.  Will he be successful is the big question though?  He might be destined for a role in the bullpen.

 

Kyle Hendricks – SP CHC

28 Years Old

2017 Stats – 7-5, 3.03 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 3.88 FIP, 139.2 IP, 123 Ks, 7.9 SO/9, 2.6 BB/9

I really like Kyle Hendricks.  He does not possess elite K numbers, and I think he gets overlooked a lot because of that.  But he has been pitching so well the last few seasons and is a guy that will pick up QS, low era, and wins for a very good Cubs team.  Without great K numbers though, a bad month might mean he hits the waiver wire and bounces around as a streaming option.

 

Gregory Polanco – RF, LF PIT

26 Years Old

2017 Stats – .251/.305/.391, .695 OPS, 39 Runs, 20 2Bs, 11 HRs, 35 RBIs

Polanco had a good 2016 that the young outfielder looked like he was going to build on heading into 2017.  Things did not go according to plan and injuries slowed him down greatly.  The once top prospect still has plenty of talent, and the hope here is he hasn’t had his true break out yet.

 

Steven Matz –  SP NYM

26 Years Old

2017 Stats – 2-7, 6.08 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 5.05 FIP, 66.2 IP, 48 Ks, 6.5 SO/9, 2.6 BB/9

Not going to waste my time talking about Matz because I already dropped him.  His numbers and peripherals were terrible last year in an injury riddled season, which seems to be a Mets theme for as long as I can remember.

 

DOCnalysis

Well I like Polanco the most in this deal, but he has a lot to prove still.  Hendricks has probably proven himself to be the most polished in the deal, and Hader still has plenty of upside if he can get those control issues fixed a bit.  I’ll side with Heroy as the winner of this deal right now, but that can change in my mind if Hader stays in bullpen and Polanco builds off his 2016 season.

Trade Review: Holiday Edition

2018 ALL STAR BREAK DRAFT – AN UPDATE! –

  1. Lacey BackdoorSliderz from Morning Wood via X-Rayz
  2. Mission Valley X*Rayz from Warriors via BackdoorSliderz
  3. Rojos Renegade Force
  4. Mission Valley X*Rayz from OGTFC via Morning Wood
  5.  Q-Tip City Morning Wood from Backdoorsliderz via X*Rayz
  6. River City Bad Dudes from Isotopes
  7. Barnegat Banana Slugs
  8. Q-Tip City Morning Wood from Bears via X*Rayz
  9. Ocean Gate Trout Fishing Club from Bad Dudes
  10. Garden State Warriors from X*Rayz
  11. River City Bad Dudes via Morning Wood
  12. Garden State Warriors
  13. Astoria Isotopes from Backdoorsliderz via X*Rayz & Bad Dudes
  14. Astoria Isotopes
  15. Bell Road Bears
  16. Astoria Isotopes
  17. Bell Road Bears
  • The deadline to declare intentions to protect or waive the rights to currently owned players for the 2018 All Star Break Draft is Saturday, 7/14, at 11:59 PM eastern.

UPDATE (7/11) – OK, so everyone is aware that the poll results showed that the ASB Rights draft will happen on Sunday (7/15) @ 8pm. The draft order is AS SHOWN ABOVE. 

Important – If you can’t make a pick on Sunday Night for whatever reason (and you have the picks), please let Lobman, Odom, or Sean Mac (The reliable Sean) know, and we’ll work something out. The draft should not take longer than an hour really. Make sure you have the space and all that. Picks after your three spots are full will be automatically passed. 

Remember the rules: Any player NOT IN THE SYSTEM is available to be picked, provided they are signed to a contract with a major league team by 7/15/2019. There are no exceptions. Draft whoever you’d like. That’s it. 

If you have any additional questions/comments, please bring them up in the chat PRIOR TO SUNDAY. 

Regards,

Lobman

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OFFSEASON TRAAADE REVIEWS: MID SEPTEMBER ISH THROUGH OCTOBER EDITION

2017-leaf-metal-draft-baseball-header
The lack of analysis on this one has gone on LONG ENOUGH (not that there’s any real analysis below)

 

 

 

CHRISTMAS COMES EARLY TO THE BACKYARD, AS I HAVE EMERGED FROM A BRIEF HIBERNATION TO FEED THE FLAMES OF WINTER MEETINGS BY ANALYZING DEALS WE DID LIKE THREE MONTHS AGO.  AND EVENTUALLY SOME MORE RECENT ONES.  NEW FORMAT AS WELL, FOR THE MILLIONTH TIME. HEADING INTO 2018 WE ARE WORKSHOPPING MONTHLY TRADE REVIEWS WHERE EVERYTHING GETS NOTED, BUT ONLY THE TOP TWO OR SO TRADES IN A GIVEN MONTH GET SOMETHING APPROACHING “IN-DEPTH” ANALYSIS………
SO LETS TRY THAT NOW WITH MID SEPTEMBERI-SH THROUGH OCTOBER AS A GUINEA PIG, TO BE FOLLOWED BY NOVEMBER THROUGH DECEMBER. SHALL WE???? WE SHALL….

TRADE ROUNDUP:

 

                             NOTES  
  Sat, Oct 28
7:17 PM
BPMZ traded Mitch Keller, Pit SP to XYZ XYZ traded Mike Clevinger, Cle RP to BPMZ X-Rayz prrrrrobably won here. I mean almost definitely, but great hair on that Clevinger.
 Sat, Sep 23
2:45 AM
T traded Jorge Mateo, Oak SS to XYZ XYZ traded Matt Olson, Oak RF to T Isotopes do a good job of replacing the Rhys man.
  Fri, Sep 22
5:17 PM
RCBD traded Sean Newcomb, Atl SP to SAD! SAD! traded Sean Manaea, Oak SP to RCBD I don’t remember what this was but I think we all lost as a league here.
 Fri, Sep 22
4:31 PM
SAD! traded Clint Frazier, NYY CF to XYZ XYZ traded Raisel Iglesias, Cin RP to SAD! The OGTFC finally acquiring the closer I didn’t want to trade to them.
 Fri, Sep 22
3:19 PM
BPMZ traded Raisel Iglesias, Cin RP to XYZ XYZ traded Willy Adames, TB SS to BPMZ This was the moment the MooniniteZ officially had too many MI prospects.
 Fri, Sep 22
1:15 PM
BPMZ traded Andrew McCutchen, Pit CF to rmac
BPMZ traded James Paxton, Sea SP to rmac
rmac traded Kyle Seager, Sea 3B to BPMZ
rmac traded Tim Beckham, Bal SS to BPMZ
rmac traded Michael Wacha, StL RP to BPMZ
I AM SO ASHAMED OF THIS PARTICULAR TRADE.  See more below.
  Fri, Sep 22
11:14 AM
rmac traded Matt Kemp, Atl RF to XYZ XYZ traded David Price, Bos SP to rmac HOW MANY FUCKING PITCHERS IS ENOUGH RYAN?
 Mon, Sep 18
9:43 PM
T traded Cody Bellinger, LAD 1B to BPMZ
T traded Scott Kingery, Phi 2B to BPMZ
T traded Rhys Hoskins, Phi 1B to BPMZ
BPMZ traded Nolan Arenado, Col 3B to T THE BIGGEST BLOCKBUSTER THIS LEAGUE HAS EVER SEEN. Not sure if the new dynasty format encourages or discourages the trading of “star player” types but fuck y’all y’all soft is what I think about that.
Mon, Sep 18
11:03 AM
WOOD traded Whit Merrifield, KC 2B to BBS
WOOD traded Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Tor RF to BBS
BBS traded Starling Marte, Pit LF to WOOD
BBS traded Tyler O’Neill, StL LF to WOOD
Just wanna note that Vlad Guerrero Jr. was like a THROW IN on this deal, whereas Ronald Acuna was previously traded for 3 guys.

 

 

 

Should probably get it out of the way now that there’s A GOOD CHANCE I am missing some draft pick maneuvering up in there, because of course I am, but that’s your fault for thinking I give a fuck about your draft picks maneuvering.  That being said I’ll try and ‘member draft pick maneuvering for any deals I highlight, and in the future I’ll try and get them into the roundup. For this round of the roundup, I don’t ‘member…..

 

 

 

(Or I just won’t highlight deals where draft picks were probably involved.  MOVING ON)

 

There was enough wheeling and dealing in this stretch where I am going to cover not one or two but three deals, two of which involved myself.

 

TRADE #1 (9/18/17):

WOOD traded Whit Merrifield, KC 2B to BBS
WOOD traded Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Tor RF to BBS
BBS traded Starling Marte, Pit LF to WOOD
BBS traded Tyler O’Neill, StL LF to WOOD

NOTES/MAJOR LEAGUE COMPS:

 

WHIT MERRIFIELD, had himself a revelation of a season.  32 doubles, 6 triples, 19 dongs 34 SBs…. showed a bit on the basepaths in the minors but the dongs came outta nowhere, and even with those likely regressing if he keeps it up on the basepaths and keeps churning out the other XBHs he is a bona fide stud in this format.  Love me some Whit…..

VLAD GUERRERO JR., just tossed in the deal here as if he isn’t in the conversation for top prospect in all of baseball right now and as if he isn’t THE PROGENY OF THE GREAT VLADIMIR GUERRERO HIMSELF.  Vlad Jr. is not quite 19 but is going to end up being really really good and DIDN’T DESERVE THIS. Vlad had a .409 OBP in A ball last year.  Major League Comparison:  Hanley Ramirez or David Ortiz or Albert Pujols or something like that.

Vlad’s Recent Prospect Rankings:   

Baseball America  –   2

Baseball Prospectus – 13

MLB.com – 4

 

STARLING MARTE   is a cheater, but also a guy who was expertly marketed by the Slugs as a “20/20” type even though he simply lucked into 19 HRs LIKE ONE FUCKIN TIME and is probably more of a 15 dongs in a great year type. He can still run a pretty good bit so one would think he has the chances to put up a Whit Merrifield-esque season with less power 😉

TYLER O’NEILL I am certain was considered to be a better prospect at some point, now he is a guy that gets traded midseason to the Cardinals for Marco Gonzalez. Strikeout prone but power to all fields seems to be the book, and there’s worse books out there than that certainly. Fangraphs recently ranked him as the Cards 7th best prospect (FV 50) and labeled him a future “average regular” so SURE let us go with that. Average regular in this man’s future. But also Tyler hit 31 HRs last year in just shy of 500 ABs so maybe we are all selling him short, as I will do now. Major League Comparison:  Brett Lawrie.

Tyler’s Recent Prospect Rankings:   

Baseball America  –   CAN’T FIND EM

Baseball Prospectus – CAN’T FIND EM

MLB.com – 87

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

Honestly I would have paused at giving up Merrifield straight up for StarMar, so to THENNNN throw in Vlad Jr. and merely take back Tyler O’Neill….ugh. Vlad Jr. most certainly felt like the kinda guy you gotta hold onto if you’re this particular franchise, and if you’re giving him up he’s not just casually tossed into a trade he is the centerpiece of said trade. NOT YOUR BEST MOVE Q-TIP CITY, WHICH IS SAYING SOMETHING……if it wasn’t for me giving them stud pitching prospects for closers I just don’t know where that franchise would be. Probably about where they are now.   Side I Side WithBarnegat Banana Slugs

 

 

 

 

 

 

TRADE #2 (9/18/17):

 

T traded Cody Bellinger, LAD 1B to BPMZ
T traded Scott Kingery, Phi 2B to BPMZ
T traded Rhys Hoskins, Phi 1B to BPMZ
BPMZ traded Nolan Arenado, Col 3B to T

AKA THE BIGGEST TRADE THIS LEAGUE HAS EVER SEEEEEEEEEEEN

AKA   ;(

 

NOTES/MAJOR LEAGUE COMPS:

 

CODY BELLINGER, prior to having just a TERRIBLE time picking up breaking balls in the World Series (McCullers has a good curve), had himself a year last year. Unanimous ROY for the NL, 39 HRs, yada yada yada. Only 22 years old and 5 months as of writing this, and the MooniniteZ are banking on him being a reallll cornerstone for many moonz to come.

SCOTT KINGERY is the forgotten man in this deal but the MooniniteZ hope that won’t be the case for long, as he is KNOCKIN ON THE DOOR of the majors after posting 18 HR/19 SB in 69 games at AA and following that up with 8 HRs/10 SB in 63 games at AAA. The power came out of nowhere to make the Phillies dream of 20/20 but who knows if that is for real, wheels have been there for a while so you can maybe settle into more of a 10-15/30 type. The Phillies are currently frantically shopping their middle infielders partly because they know Kingery will be ready by May or June the latest. Major League Comparison:  I’m going Jean Segura BECAUSE I DON’T SEE COLOR, and because all you read is Chase Utley and that is the laziest goddamn thing.

Scott’s Recent Prospect Rankings:   

Baseball America  –   52

Baseball Prospectus – 50

MLB.com – 50

 

RHYS HOSKINS was famously RIDICULOUSLY hot at the start of his career, helping to carry the X-Rayz to the BCS title prior to being famously dropped as punishment for misgivings. 18 HRs in 50 games, cooled off a bit after swatting 11 in his first 22. MooniniteZ scouts have privately conceded they think he will be a better player than Bellinger in this format, AND NOW IT HAS BEEN PUBLICLY CONCEDED. Drinking the Rhys Kool-Aid and it is tasting delicious.

NOLAN ARENADO what needs to be said really. Top 5ish player in fantasy, top 10 absolutely, 130 133 130 are his RBI totals for the past three seasons. He is very good and I don’t want to talk about him too much.

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

This absolute BLOCKBUSTER clearly hinges pretty prominently on the development of the two talented rookies, as we all know what Arenado is and he will continue to be that. If you’re the MooniniteZ here you’re trading  one HR/RBI machine for what you hope will develop into two HR/RBI machines, you’re also banking on Scott Kingery being a legitimate 20/20 threat to really ease the sting of Nolan’s absence from your life. If you’re the Isotopes you likely viewed this as somewhat of a no-brainer, maybe you didn’t believe in Rhys one bit and maybe you think Bellinger levels off. One team got a top 10 fantasy player in 2018 absolutely, the other hopes it grabbed two inside the top 25. And Scott Kingery.  Side I Side WithMINE

 

 

 

 

 

TRADE #3 (9/22):

 

BPMZ traded Andrew McCutchen, Pit CF to rmac
BPMZ traded James Paxton, Sea SP to rmac
rmac traded Kyle Seager, Sea 3B to BPMZ
rmac traded Tim Beckham, Bal SS to BPMZ
rmac traded Michael Wacha, StL RP to BPMZ

 

NOTES:

 

ANDREW MCCUTCHEN  arrived in MooniniteZ camp last offseason with everyone doubting his ability to be a top fantasy contributor once again, and through May he was kinda proving everyone right. But then June and July hit and with it he went on a reallll tear and he ended up with some solid numbers (28 HRs, 94 Rs, 88 RBIs, 11 SBs  maybe this is a bit better than “solid”).  Now somebody tell Ryan he won’t have RF eligibility I don’t have the heart to break it to him…..

JAMES PAXTON, yet another season of flashes of brilliance surround by DL stints. When he is on he can be as good as anybody, as evidenced by his career high 10.32 K/9 last season. But he has a penchant for ending up on the DL during playoffs time and the MooniniteZ already had Lance McCuller soooooo……jk there really isn’t any good justification for him being involved in this deal, except that Ryan likes the Mariners and I just want my brother to be happy…..

KYLE SEAGER is also a Mariner but the TR TBD traded him away so ownership perhaps doesn’t like the Ms as much as I thought, perhaps they just liked Paxton cuz he is good. BUT SEAGER WAS ONCE GOOD, last year a “down year” by most accounts but he still ends up with 27 HRs 88 RBIs. Gotta pull back a bit on the fly balls going forward and I think he has a nice opportunity to rebound a bit in the OBP cat, Nolan Arenado he is not but a solid 3B he is….

TIM BECKHAM was like one of the better hitters in all of baseball last August, but so was Jorge Polanco and so was Eugenio Suarez so WHAT DOES THAT TELL US NOTHING (I really like Eugenio though). Beckham is a former number one pick as we all know and he has SQUANDERED most of that talent but still will be heading into his age 28 season here, a chance for growth now that he’s broken free from the Rays but also a chance he sucks and I drop him. He had 22 dongs last year which feels like his ceiling.

MICHAEL WACHA is just consistently MEH, just MEH numbers across the board last season over 30 starts.  8.58 K/9 will play in Bellcrest Park but THERE IS MORE TO PITCHING THAN Ks, even though Ks are the only things I discussed of the two pitchers in this section. Wacha’s numbers were mostly the same in both halves which is good since his rep has been that of a fader down the stretch. Won’t turn 27 until July so maybe he breaks out and I timed this right, also maybe he sucks and I cut him around the point in time where I’m gonna need to cut a pitcher or 3.

 

ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:

 

QUITE POSSIBLY, this is my least favorite trade of mine of like all time. Here’s why….. I can see Cutch and Seager cancelling out or very nearly cancelling out (Look at the last two years and TELL ME I AM LYIN, numbers similar last season and Seager’s superior in ’16). HOWEVER I am then left to contend with having traded James Paxton, frustratingly beautiful James Paxton, for Tim Beckham and Michael Wacha. Now Tim Beckham had his hot streak last August and maybe he flourishes in a full season in Bmore yada yada but there’s also a good chance he is terrible and gets dropped once one of my eleventeen middle infield prospects shows up. And Michael Wacha threw the ball pretty hard last year (95.6 avg fastball according to FG, compared to 96 for Paxton) but let’s be honest that is about where the comparisons with James Paxton end. Pax can be a top 10 pitcher if he can stay healthy for once in his goddamned life, with Wacha the upside just prrrrrrobably isn’t there at this point. And he arguably isn’t much of a better bet to be pitching during the Backyard Postseason and I will probably drop him for not being James Paxton at some point.  Side I Side WithCan’t even say mine, it’s The TR TBD here.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MERRRRRRRRRRY CHRISTMAS, YOU GET THIS PIECE OF SHIT REVIEW FOR CHRISTMAS IS WHAT YOU GET.
ALSO EXPECT A NOVEMBER/DECEMBER REVIEW TO FOLLOW
ALSO EXPECT THE TROLL SERIES TO MAYBE RETURN IN 2018 PROBABLY
ALSO EXPECT A BUNCH OF REALLY BAD ATTEMPTS TO FINE TUNE THESE TRADE REVIEWS BEFORE I AM SATISFIED WITH THE END RESULT (one where they get written far, far quicker)

ALSO EXPECT RHYS HOSKINS TO BE FAR BETTER THAN YOU ALL THINK HE IS GOING TO BE…..SO………..

 

 

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OFFSEASON TRAAADE REVIEWS: MID SEPTEMBER ISH THROUGH OCTOBER EDITION