AGAIN JUST CANNOT WISH ENOUGH OF THE BIRTHDAY WISHES TO OUR FUHRER OUR EMPEROR OUR SUPREME DIGNITY OUR COMMISSIONER A ONE MIKE ODOM. LONG MAY HE LIVE LONG MAY HE REIGN. FOR A BIRTHDAY PRESENT I WILL NOW REVIEW A TRADE IN WHICH I UNDOUBTEDLY SHOULD HAVE SHOPPED MORE AND ADDED A PROSPECT JUST FOR THE SAKE OF APPEASING THE MASSES. LET’S LOOK….
THE TRADE (7/27):
MOON dropped Jose Reyes, NYM 3B to Waivers
WOOD traded Felipe Rivero, Pit RP to MOON
MOON traded Alex Reyes*, StL SP to WOOD
NOTES/MAJOR LEAGUE COMPS:
Felipe Rivero aka the best closer nobody gives a shit about, 26 years old aka IN HIS PRIME…..10.25 K/9, 0.68 ERA, 14 Holds, 9 Saves, 4 Ws in 52.2 IP this season…..I’m into him more for the other stuff, set the min. innings to 50 and he has the lowest WHIP in baseball (0.70)…..now is where I point out that is OBVIOUSLY CHERRYPICKING, most relievers have slightly less than 50 IP this season….so set it to 40 and he’s just like 9th in FIP (2.28), 9th in Swinging Strike % (16.1%)…..point is I see a whole lot of Andrew Miller in him and I don’t think those goddamned OGTFC were going to part with Miller for Reyes so here we are…..
The prize of the trade is, IF POLLING IS TO BE TRUSTED, soon to be 23 year old Alex Reyes…..recovering from TJ but seems to be recovering nicely…..1.57 ERA (2.67 FIP), 10.17 K/9 across 46 IP in 2016…..still the Cards top prospect, still rated very highly on prospect lists but I don’t want to look up exact numbers for fear of getting sad about it…..should be prettttty damned good so long as the arm returns healthy (which might require some mechanical changes SEE HORRIFYING TOMMY JOHN TWIST THING BELOW), even if the fastball loses a few ticks…..probably will be on an innings limit if he makes it back at all in 2018, ergo likely wouldn’t be pitching deep into games ergo likely will be kinda useless until 2019 at the earliest….Major League Comparison: Noah Syndergaard. Remind me to try and trade for Noah Syndergaard this offseason.
Sean’s half-assed attempt at trade justification: http://www.chrisoleary.com/pitching/PIP/Overviews/Reyes_Alex_PitchingMechanics.html
ANALYSIS/THE PICKING OF THE SIDES:
So WHY? WHY DO YOU DO THIS SEAN? You do this because you really like Felipe Rivero SO MUCH SO that you don’t care about haggling over additional pieces, and you do it because you don’t necessarily expect Reyes to contribute in 2018 and you can’t see that far ahead of things to wait on a possible trade window. You also do it because you were tired of waiting on another trade to go through. And if you are the Morning Wood, you accept this trade nigh IMMEDIATELY because you’re smarter than some of your previous transactions might seem to indicate. There will be another Rivero to come from nowhere next year, and really losing teams in fantasy should take a cue from losing teams in the majors and part with most of their relievers whenever possible (assuming those relievers aren’t like Jansen Kimbrel Chapman Miller etc. etc. etc. ONLY THE CREAM OF THE CROP. So the QTCMW did the right thing here, get themselves a potential future ace at a TJ discount. Even if the MooniniteZ had serious reservations about the future of Mr. Reyes it isn’t like they achieved some sort of massive haul with that in mind, they went with a quick WIN NOW reliever pickup and called it a day. Ergo I side with the Morning Wood here, with the caveat that if I win the championship this season it doesn’t fucking matter if Reyes is the next Noah Syndergaard or some shit.