10 Teams in 10 Days: #10 Astoria Isotopes

ps_0337w_isotopes
when I originally started formatting these they were the Springfield Isotopes and so fuck them…..

s

s

Foreword:  The 10 Teams in 10 Days Series is meant to directly rip off whatever 30 teams in 30 days shit the MLB Network does, which was then ripped off by Mikey T for some sort of weird topics of discussion chat series, which is now being ripped off by me to give a little team preview for all of 2017’s participants.  THIS IS NOT A POWER RANKINGS of any kind, this is just me very lightly discussing each team’s roster as we prepare for this our first official dynasty season.  Teams will be previewed in reverse order of the “final standings,” which is a metric I like for last season because it for whatever reason gave the ‘Topes no credit for their late-season winning ways and has them last in final standings.  Let’s cover em now….

ss

s

KNOW YOUR OWNER!:  DISGRACED FORMER COMMISSIONER MIKEY T! Mikey T enjoys bow ties and selfies and making us all uncomfortable with certain things he says or does and nearly managing the league INTO THE FUCKING GROUND for years and years and years. JK he did fine as commish. As a team is maybe another story; about 75% of the way through the 2016 season the ‘Topes had a 4-9-3 record and were ALOTTA FUN to make fun of, and then Mikey T displayed some WINNIN’ EXPERIENCE (“all time wins mehhhh”) and ripped off 4 straight wins to close out the year. SURELY the ‘Topes will be looking to build upon that momentum and some solid offseason wheelings and dealings in order to return to the playoffs in 2017, where they usually lose. Also Mikey T enjoys show tunes and hates dogs. BEST OF LUCK TO MIKEY T IN THE UPCOMING SEASON!

s

s

KEY ADDITIONS!:  SS/2B Jean Segura,  SP Jose Quintana, 1B Wil Myers, LF Khris Davis

s

s

KEY SUBTRACTIONS!:  1B Freddie Freeman, 3B Evan Longoria

s

s

Image result

THE LINEUP!:  This lineup may have gotten a little younger in a few spots but it still flows through the ageless Miggy Cabrera, fresh off a 38 HR 108 RBI (.393 OBP) season. Robby Cano is still here as well, rebounding from a “meh” 2015 season to contribute 39 HRs, 107 Rs, 103 RBIs in 2016 (.350 OBP). This lineup still mostly goes as far as these two aging elites can take it, but the ‘Topes have also done a good job of sprinkling in some youth around them. They will be hoping that Jean Segura and Wil Myers can build off their breakout 2016 seasons, and perhaps that Manuel Margot is capable of a breakout of his own. Khris Davis should continue to provide power, Charlie Blackmon should provide both power AND speed, and the quartet of Lorenzo Cain, Mike Napoli, Adrian Gonzalez, and Dustin Pedroia probably won’t provide much of anything.  I like LoCain, but he really had one good season and one okay season and now he’s 31. Fuck Dustin Pedroia.

s

Image result for jose quintana

THE ROTATION!:  Jose Quintana is an excellent addition as he has been a quietly dominant source of QS in this league FOR YEARS I tell you. Beyond that, this rotation ehhhhhhh. The ‘Topes will be looking to ride Cole Hamels until the wheels fall off, tough to say when that will occur as he remained pretty damn solid despite the hitter-friendly home park in Texas last season.  Dallas Keuchel regressed sharply from his brilliant 2015 campaign but should be due for a bit of a rebound, as his true talent likely lies somewhere in the middle. The rest of the rotation is made up of two one AL East starters that aren’t isn’t nearly as good as their his 2016 surface stats suggested (JA Happ, Chris Tillmanand two young starters with loads of potential (Blake Snell, Jose Berrios). Berrios struggled mightily last season, while Snell already looked to be a gem albeit a gem that will need to work on trimming the walks and working later into games going forward (5.16 B/9 in ’16, worst among starters with a min. of 80 IP). Nats prospect Erick Fedde could debut at some point after the All Star Break but NO SOONER, he’s not even on the 40 man yet.

s

Image result for david phelps marlins

THE BULLPEN!:  Springfield did good picking up Mark Melancon from the 3EF, as he will likely save a good amount of games for the Giants and strike out an okay amount of batters.  Craig Kimbrel is likely to save even moreee games and strike out even moreeee batters. Beyond that you have a mixed bag.  Jeanmar Gomez and Adam Ottavino both seem like they are placeholders for their respective closing gigs, SAME WITH OLD ASS Jim Johnson, with Ottavino being the more talented of the trio and thus the more likely to contribute for the ‘Topes regardless of role. The real wildcard is David Phelps, who is once again slated to work as an SP-eligible reliever for the Marlins in 2017. If he ends up in high leverage situations with holds or saves opportunities he will be a great asset to the Isotopes, if he ends up as a long reliever he will be significantly less valuable. Early indications are that he will work as the former but time shall tell.

s

THE OUTLOOK!:  The ‘Topes have quietly done a helluva job with a lot of their moves this offseason, however to me they still have the look of a team with not quite enough on either side of the proverbial ball. A reliance on AGING names over production in some spots might haunt them in a few early season matchups, and even if they cut bait with some of the vets and continue to make strong trades they might find themselves running out of weeks to right the ship…… a la 2016.

s

s

SEAN’S PREDICTION!:  9-9, 8th place.

 

 

10 Teams in 10 Days: #10 Astoria Isotopes

Trade Review: One Man’s Trash is Another Man’s Probable Trash Edition

ccqiowywaaaiodd
LOOGATDIS cutie patootie…..

THE TRADE:

s

The Point Loma X-Rayz trade [Low Minors] SS Ozzie Albies and RF David Peralta to Rojo’s Resurgence for 3B/RF Hernan Perez and SP Steven Wright.

   S
  S
THE X-RAYZ RETURN:

s

3B/RF Hernan Perez – 26 year old CAME OUTTA NOWHERE type guy for the Milwaukee Brewers. .302 OBP, 18 doubles, 3 triples, 13 HRs, 50 Rs, 56 RBIs, 34 SBs across 404 ABs in 2016. Again this came outta nowhere. So much so that the Brewers went out and got a starting 3B in the offseason, leaving Perez currently without a spot to play. Will function as a “super utility” for the Brewers in 2017 (aka spotty playing time) and if the numbers regress eeeeven a little bit (the OBP isn’t great to begin with) that PT can all but evaporate and he can become some sort of pinch runner or something. So PLAYING TIME ISSUES one might say.

s

SP Steven Wright – 32.5 year old Red Sawx knuckle baller, BET YOU THOUGHT HE WAS YOUNGER CUZ I KINDA DID. Never did a goddamned thing until last season, when he made the All Star team and threw 4 goddamned complete games (13-6, 3.33 ERA [3.77 FIP], 127 Ks in 156.2 IP [7.30 K/9], 15 QS, 4 CGs). Seems to have locked up a rotation spot towards the back end there in Boston, and who fucking really knows if he will be good again? A 5.06 2nd half ERA (42.2 IP) suggests maybe he won’t and good fuck Boston.

     S
     S
THE RESURGENCE RETURN:

s

SS Ozzie Albies – HERE IS A THING I wrote about Albies like a month ago, because I doubt much has changed:

Atlanta Braves 2nd ranked prospect SS/2B Ozzie Albies. Don’t let the #2 ranking there fool you, as Albies would be the Braves top-ranked prospect if not for SS Dansby Swanson. And it is the presence of SS Dansby Swanson that probably leads to a position change for Albies, with a potential promotion to play second base in ATL as early as this season. Albies is the 11th best prospect in all of baseball according to Baseball America (#10 according to MLB.com), and in typical X-Rayz fashion represents a significant speed threat because WHAT FUCKING ELSE DID YOU EXPECT. Ozzie struggled a bit across 222 ABs in AAA last year but was far more comfortable in AA, stealing 21 bases with a .391 OBP across 330 ABs. If he can display that comfort in AAA to start this season and continue to play strong defense at second, he will be up as soon as the Braves get tired of trotting out old man Brandon Phillips. As such, the Oz man represents the Low Minors X-Ray Resurger most likely to see time in the majors in 2017, and before long he could be just another X-Ray like the ONLY RR player frustrating opponents with 5+ SB weeks. Unless Goldy keeps up his craziness.

s

RF David Peralta – 29.6 year old DBacks TRIPLES MACHINE.  Also gets injured a lot, which is why he isn’t still on my team. .371 OBP, 26 doubles, 10 triples, 17 HRs, 61 Rs, 78 RBIs, 9 SBs in a breakout 2015. Followed that up by only playing 48 games last year due to aforementioned injuries. Hits too many ground balls not enough fly balls to really threaten 20 HRs consistently, but hits enough line drives to hit a shit ton of triples in that triples boosting home park of his (24 triples in past 3 seasons, 16 at home).

   S
   S
RETURN SEAN LIKES MORE:

s

ROJO’S RESURGENCE.  There isn’t much to discuss in this trade, but I would say WHEN HEALTHY Peralta is the best player to change hands because I do not believe in Hernan Perez very much at all (playing time issues). There’s also the chance that Peralta can never get his health in check, but that’s okay STILL THE BEST PLAYER IN THE DEAL.  But anyways yea the the best DYNASTY PIECE in this deal went to Rojo’s Resurgence in Ozzie Albies. Of all the players in this deal Albies is likely the only one that might one day sting to have lost, so Rojo’s Resurgence takes the coveted “side Sean likes more” crown here. I have already spent too many words on this and some of them were copy and pasted.

Trade Review: One Man’s Trash is Another Man’s Probable Trash Edition

TRADE REVIEW: Monday Morning Mayhem

thor-cosplay

s

Let the record show that if I hadn’t ALREADY switched to a more streamlined trade review format, this trade would have been the trade that brought me to that point.  Just to avoid writing 10,000 words on it.  Let’s see if I can keep it brief-ish.

 

s

s

THE TRADE:

s

The Q-Tip City Morning Wood trade SP Noah Syndergaard and [High Minors] SP Carson Fulmer to the Pine Lake Punchouts for 1B Brandon Belt and  SP Felix Hernandez.

   s
  s
THE MORNING WOOD RETURN:

s

1B Brandon Belt – 28 year old (29 on 4/20 SHOUT TO ODOM) 1B for the Giants of San Francisco.  Sort of like a REALLY POOR man’s version of Joey Votto.  .394 OBP (career high), 41 doubles, 8  triples, 17 HRs, 77 Rs, 82 RBIs, in 2016. NICE LITTLE SEASON, especially with the OBP uptick.  Plays his home games in a HR killing environment but last year attempted to make up for that fact with triples (7 triples 6 HRs @ Home, 1 triple 11HRs @ Away).  More top 15 or top 20 1B than top 10 but gets a bit of a boost in OBP leagues, which this most certainly is.

     ss

SP Felix Hernandez – 30.9 year old (feels like 300.9) former ace of the Seattle Mariners.  If Ryan was willing to trade him you know he’s fallen off a bit. 11-8, 3.82 ERA (4.63 FIP), 122 Ks in 153.1 IP (7.16 K/9), 13 QS in 2016.  Lost about 1.5 mph on the heater last year, so the velocity will be something to watch this spring and at the start of the season.  Likely a bit of betting on an established name going on here, as this article (How Much Hope Is Appropriate For Felix Hernandez?) and this image paint a picture that says the old King Felix as we know him is DEAD:

 

  
s
s
THE PUNCHOUTS RETURN:

s

SP Noah Syndergaard – 24.5 year old SP for the NY Mets whom has leapfrogged DeGrom and Harvey to become their ace.  The fastest fastball that ever did fast amongst qualified starters last season, averaging 97.9 mph according to PITCH/fx.  14-9, 2.60 ERA (2.29 FIP), 218 Ks in 183.2 IP (10.68 K/9), 20 QS in 2016.  Had the best FIP in baseball amongst qualified starters (2nd to Kershaw if you drop the minimum).  Probably a top 5 pitcher in both fantasy and “IRL.” Was pitching with “insignificant” bone spurs last season, so insignificant that they didn’t bother to remove them in the offseason.  Also allegedly added 15 pounds of muscle this offseason.  Both of those details are kinda terrifying in both directions depending upon how you look at them.

s

[High Minors] SP Carson Fulmer – 23 year old RHP prospect for the Chicago White Sox, the 8th overall pick in the 2015 Amateur Draft.  Got rocked over the course of 11.2 major league relief innings last season (8.49 ERA, 5.98 FIP) but did okay in 4 AAA starts (3.17 FIP) but did less okay in 17 AA starts (4.17 FIP).  Control issues have some believing he will never throw enough strikes to start/will end up in a high-leverage bullpen role.  Since this is my first prospect of the new streamlined trade analysis I am excited to compare him to a major leaguer, and that major leaguer isssssss:  Tony Cingrani.  I see a future reliever.

   s
   s
RETURN SEAN LIKES MORE:

s

THE PUNCHOUTS.  And it ain’t particularly close and I am just going to leave it at that.  Zipped mouth emoji.

   s

   s

TRADE REVIEW: Monday Morning Mayhem

WEEKEND TRADES REVIEW: REVIEWS NOW WITH THE BREVITY THEY DESERVE

george-steinbrenner-new-york-yankees-05009jpgjpg-1b45397ad609c8a9

“BREVITY IS THE BROTHER OF BRILLIANCE” — George Steinbrenner, probably incorrectly quoting Shakespeare

  s

  s

TRADE #1:

s

The Point Loma X-Rayz trade SP Jon Lester and SP Robbie Ray to the Q-Tip City Morning Wood for 2B Daniel Murphy.

   s
  s
THE X-RAYZ RETURN:

s

2B Daniel Murphy – 2B and 1B eligible homophobe fresh off his best professional season, his first with the Nationals. Second or third best 2B to own in fantasy depending upon your thoughts on Brian Dozier (Update:  I forgot Trea Turner existed so maybe slide this down to “third or fourth” THIS YEAR ONLY).390 OBP, 47 doubles, 5 triples, 25 HRs, 88 Rs, 104 RBIs, 5 SBs in 2016. So yea, monster fucking season. Turns 32 on Opening Day eve. FUN FACT STOLEN FROM FANGRAPHS: Dating back to August 1st, 2015, Murphy’s .950 OPS is 6th-best in baseball, ahead of Kris Bryant (.946), Miguel Cabrera (.938), Freddie Freeman (.936), and Nolan Arenado (.932) to name a few.

     s
     s
THE MORNING WOOD RETURN:

s

SP Jon Lester – 33 year old Cubs LHP and Opening Day starter that can’t throw to first base. Pretty good at aspects of pitching that do not involve throwing to first base.  19-5, 2.44 ERA, 197 Ks in 202.2 IP (8.75 K/9), 26 QS, 2 CGs in 2016.  Very probably a top 10 fantasy SP heading into 2017 but also FOREVER A RED SAWK to me so fuck him.

s

SP Robbie Ray – 25 year old NL version of Michael Pineda.  Pitches in a HR friendly home park (1.20 HR/9 @ Home, 1.27 HR/9 @ Away) which might offset some of the advantages of getting to pitch to pitchers a bunch of times. 8-15, 4.90 ERA, 218 Ks in 174.1 IP (A SUPER SEXY 11.25 K/9), 10 QS in 2016.  Needs to get more than two fucking pitches and cut down on the HRs, but if he does so watch out because the Ks are elite.

   s
   s
RETURN SEAN LIKES MORE:

s

THE X-RAYZ.  Only because I prefer the homophobe to the poster boy for that shitty 2007 Red Sox team that got to play the Rockies in the World Series.  Fuck Jon Lester.  It’s entirely possible that in most fantasy drafts ’round the world Lester goes a few picks ahead of Daniel Murphy, BUT ONLY A FEW.  And Robbie Ray is a nice piece to tack on, taking the gamble that he can rise above his issues and lower that ERA and work later into games and such.  But Murphy is top 2 or 3 at his position and gives the X-Rayz the possibility of playing him at either 1B or 2B, which will surely keep the hot fucking stove hot for them.  I prefer the Murphy side and I don’t need to explain my Red Sox bias to ANYONE.

   ssss

   ssss

TRADE #2:

ssss

The Barnegat Banana Slugs trade CF Odubel Herrera and RP Ryan Madson to the Q-Tip City Morning Wood for CF Ender Inciarte and RP Cody Allen.

    ssss
THE SLUGS RETURN:

ssss

CF Ender Inciarte – 26 year old Braves CF coming off an ever so slightly injury shortened season that might have hid his sleeper potential a wee bit. .351 OBP, 24 doubles, 7 triples, 3 HRs, 85 Rs, 29 RBIs, 16 SBs in 2016. Should bat leadoff in ATL and AS I ALREADY NOTED LAST TIME HE WAS TRADED, could be a good source of runs (as all leadoff guys can be I s’pose) if the Braves offense gets its proverbial shit together.  Let’s let Fangraphs contribute another thing:

  • A strained hamstring cost Ender Inciarte the first month of the season and likely had some impact on his awful May (.216 AVG, .539 OPS), but he was even better than the strong 2015 version from June on with a .308/.363/.411 line in his final 470 PA (.303/.338/.408 in ’15). Could be a sneaky runs asset if the Braves are anywhere near their second half prowess all season.

ssss

RP Cody Allen –  28 year old closer for the Indians, and their second best relief pitcher. 3-5, 2.51 ERA, 32 Saves (3 BS), 87 Ks in 68 IP (11.51 K/9) in 2016. I suppose there’s a small chance Francona decides enough of this shit and puts Andrew Miller in the closer’s role in Cleveland, he certainly would get the call if Allen blows a bunch o’ saves, but it seems the Indians like using Miller in their own wacky way so Allen should be safe barring performance issues. A top 15 or so closer without question and one can certainly entertain top 10 arguments (I probably put him in my top 10, LEAVE YOURS IN THE COMMENTS SECTION BELOW!).

   ssss
   ssss
THE MORNING WOOD RETURN:

ssss

CF Odubel Herrera – 25 year old Phillies CF (OoOoOo younger guy) coming off an impressive breakout-ish (at least offensively) season for the Phightins. .361 OBP, 21 doubles, 6 triples, 15 HRs, 87 Rs, 49 RBIs, 25 SBs in 2016. A legit 20/20 threat if things break right on the HR side of things.

ssss

RP Ryan Madson – 36.5 year old closer for the Oakland Athletics (OLD GUY). 6-7, 2.51 ERA, 30 Saves (7 BS), 3 Holds, 49 Ks in 64.2 IP (a GROSS 6.82 K/9) in 2016. Madson fits the mold of a closer that could EASILY be supplanted should he struggle or should the Athletics decide Sean Doolittle is the better option or should literally just about anyone else step up in that pen.  2016 numbers were pretty MEH but he was much better for the Royals in 2015. Decidedly not a top 15 closer but mayyyyybe top 20ish, right on the border of top 20ish, maybe?  Maybe not?  But maybe?  Probably not though.

    ssss
    ssss
RETURN SEAN LIKES MORE:

ssss

THE BANANA SLUGS.  Firstly let me just say that I enjoyed this trade, because as I noted in our chat it was basically one side trading the better OF and the other side trading the better RP and how you feel about it maybe just comes down to which side got the greater gap with their “better” return.  And in my opinion Cody Allen is much better than Madson, whereas Odubel is maybe a bit less better than Ender Inciarte.  CERTAINLY BETTER though, but if you’re looking at those 2016 numbers you have to factor in about 60 extra ABs for Odubel and possible lingering issues with Inciarte’s hammy and yada fucking yada.  Odubel has more pop than Inciarte will ever have though, can’t nobody take that from him.  But Cody Allen to me is a top 10 closer and really shores up the Slugs RPs, I believe he actually almost has too many at this juncture (HOT FUCKIN STOVE), so I like his side more for those and other reasons (I might want to trade with him more than I currently want to trade with the other side).

8f9a5f5b8b538120abafc62b90b8967c
RIP to The Boss
WEEKEND TRADES REVIEW: REVIEWS NOW WITH THE BREVITY THEY DESERVE

Trade Review: FEATURING A DEVIL’S THREE WAY

04f179fa2e829d5315495e4bd31bac21b84936-wm
Technically speaking a “devil’s three-way” is supposed to refer to two gentlemen having sex with a lady…..in this instance I guess Brian is the lady

 

 

Two trades over the weekend, because that’s what you people DO over the weekend. You make trades and then expect me to cover them on my first day of the work week PROBABLY, REGARDLESS of how much shit I might actually have to do in terms of actual work related to my actual “job”.  Just selfish really.  And in response to that selfishness I took my sweet ass time getting to these reviews.  But I know you people are still as trade happy as ever, so let’s discuss these two deals before another trade goes through and I have to work it in…. which would be tragic.  X-RAYZ ALL OVER THIS THING….

 

 

TRADE #1:

The Point Loma X-Rayz trade OF Khris Davis and SS Ketel Marte to the Springfield Isotopes for SP Matt Moore and OF Tyler Naquin.

THE X-RAYZ RETURN:

The X-Rayz have long prided themselves on rostering talented ex-Rays and they add yet another one, picking up Matt Moore from the ‘Topes. Matt Moore has held promise for some time now but has also never reallllly capitalized on that promise, apart from a 2012 season where he struck out very nearly a batter an inning over 177 IP for the Rays (3.81 ERA). That sonofabitch Tommy John came calling around the beginning of the 2014 season and Moore has spent the remaining years more or less working his way back from that, putting together a pretty terrible 2015 (5.43 ERA, 6.57 K/9) and an uneven 2016 (4.46 “first half” ERA, 3.63 “second half” ERA). It is that 2nd half that hints at the promise that the X-Rayz are paying for here, as Moore enters 2017 entrenched as the Giants third starter.  Pitching for an NL team in baseball’s most HR-suppressing home stadium might be just what the doctor ordered for Moore, as he has always sported a ground ball to fly ball ratio of basically 1:1 and could certainly benefit from more of those fly balls staying in the park.  Moore is still only 27 (28 in June0 and, if he’s right, he can be a top 40 or top 50 fantasy pitcher ish.  The other part of the X-Rayz return is Indians OF Tyler Naquin, a man who burst onto the fantasy scene last year and put up a .371 OBP over 321 ABs.  How many ABs Naquin acquires this year will depend upon his production, the health of Michael Brantley, Cleveland’s timeline for Bradley Zimmer, etc. etc. etc. but if there’s an increase in ABs it will be interesting to see what kinds of numbers Tyler can put together.  Not to rain on parades but Naquin DID have a .411 BABIP in 2016, highest in baseball for players with at least 300 PAs, and that number is unsustainable going forward (nobody can really keep up a .400+ OBP NOT EVEN BERNIE WILLIAMS HIMSELF).  He also put up a 30.7% K percentage which, if it were to hold, would hint at some major OBP downside.  Despite the red flags last year’s version of Tyler Naquin plays in fantasy; 14 HRs over 321 ABs and a .371 OBP don’t grow on trees folks.  Difficult to see him putting up those power and OBP numbers again this year but ONLY ONE WAY TO FIND OUT.

 

THE ISOTOPES RETURN:

The Isotopes, in this writer’s opinion, have quietly put together one of the stronger offseasons in this league.  One could make the case this continues with the acquisition of Khris Davis, power hitting LF extraordinaire of the Athletics.  Davis most recently ripped 42 HRs in Oakland, with baseball’s second-worst home stadium for HRs (2nd only to SF) not seeming to have much of an effect on Khris.  Davis had always hinted at this power potential, hitting 27 HRs in 121 games in 2015 for example, but injuries kept getting in the way.  Hence the 121 games in 2015.  The knock on Khris Davis would be that he doesn’t walk nearly as much as Chris Davis, and strikes out nearly as much.  This puts a hard cap on his OBP, which makes him essentially a slightly better slighly blacker Adam Duvall.  If one wanted to criticize Isotopes management, and let’s be honest everybody probably hates this guy these days, they would note that the ‘Topes traded Adam Duvall only to essentially trade to get him back.  Also Isotopes management is too skinny.  SEE THIS IS EASY.    On the other side of things, the ‘Topes also picked up Ketel Marte aka a guy the X-Rayz signed from the FA wastelands like NOT THAT LONG AGO.  (Edit:  WRONG Ketel was just dropped or something, leaving the next part in though cuz IT IS STILL TRUE)….. SEE HOW EASY IT IS MIKEY T, TO JUST CRITIQUE PEOPLE AND TALK ABOUT BEING ABLE TO FIND A BETTER GUY ON THE WAIVER WIRES EVERY FUCKING TIME A TRADE IS MADE.  You certainly can find a better guy than Marte on the waiver wires, is what I am saying, because Marte probably does not have a starting gig on the Diamondbacks at press time.  If he eventually gets the second base gig he can offer some speed and WHO KNOWS maybe he pulls off a homeless man’s version of Jean Segura, but the ‘Topes already got Segura and also Marte can’t really fucking hit.  My point is Marte is probably dropped any day now.

 

SIDE SEAN LIKES MORE:

THE X-RAYZ.  Only because I don’t want to publicly voice support for the owner of the Isotopes these days, THAT GUY IS TOXIC right about now.  Judging by Sunday morning reviews of Saturday evening chats.  Also again, he traded white Adam Duvall and then traded for black Adam Duvall and I am going to give him shit for that here because I can.

 

 

 

TRADE #2:

THREEEEE WAYYYY ACTIONNNNN.  I am not even entirely sure how to write this out here, let’s try something like this:

The Q-Tip Morning Wood and Point Loma X-Rayz take turns on the Barnegat Banana Slugs.

Q-Tip Morning Wood acquire OF Ender Inciarte (via X-Rayz), SP Zack Greinke (via Slugs), [Low Minors] SP Tyler Beede (via Slugs), and [Low Minors] SS/2B Franklin Barreto (via Slugs)

Point Loma X-Rayz acquire RP Edwin Diaz (via Slugs)

Barnegat Banana Slugs acquire RP AJ Ramos (via X-Rayz), [Low Minors] SP Brent Honeywell (from X-Rayz via Morning Wood), [High Minors] SS Dansby Swanson (via Morning Wood), [Low Minors] SP Josh Hader (via Morning Wood), SP Jon Gray (via Morning Wood)

 

THE MORNING WOOD RETURN:

NOT TOO SHABBY.  Talent was definitely parted with but it takes talent to get talent and some talent comes back to the Morning Wooders here.  Starting with Ender Inciarte, the Braves OF acquired in the initial little side deal with the X-Rayz.  Inciarte is completely devoid of power, but like a good little slap hitter he doesn’t strike out too often/can draw the occasional walk/can steal some bags.  Inciarte should bat leadoff for the Braves this year and if the offense ever gets their shit together, that would be to his fantasy benefit as it could get him to score a few more runs.  The Slugs provided the real meat of the return for the Morning Meat Wood, starting with FORMER GOOD PITCHER Zack Greinke.  I for one have never much cared for Greinke, that cherub looking motherfucker, but I would at least concede he was a decent pitcher up until last season.  Last season a bit of gopheritis set in, as Greinke’s HRs per 9 jumped from 0.57 in 2015 to 1.30 in 2016.  One would immediately conclude this was perhaps aided by the AZ air, but Greinke actually gave up 3 more HRs in the road in about the same amount of innings (Note:  I know what you’re thinking but only 1 HR came in Coors, with 5 coming in his former home in LA).  Going forward there are questions:  Greinke’s final ERA of 4.37 isn’t terrible but it went from 3.62 over 109 first half innings to 6.02 over 49 second half innings.  49 innings isn’t a lot, and there is a chance Greinke rebounds to more closely resemble his form from previous seasons, but he’s also 33 and there is a chance he does not.  Such is life.  Tyler Beede is a pitcher whom is younger than 33, about 23.75 to be exact.  Beede currently ranks as the Giants’ best prospect according to Baseball America (#89 overall BA, #88 MLB.com FINALLY SOME AGREEMENT), and is currently allegedly vying for the Giants’ fifth starter spot.  If he gets it perhaps he is good, perhaps he isn’t I dunno read the scouting reports.  Old Man Yells At Prospects.  AND ANOTHER PROSPECT, to round out the deal, in Franklin Barreto.  Barreto is the A’s best prospect according to BA (#40 overall, #52 MLB.com) and is also according to what IIIIIII have heard, more of a future CF than a future middle infielder.  Which changes things in fantasy now does it.  Barreto hit 10 dingers and swiped 30 bags across 462 AA ABs last season, numbers that would play at CF if that is where his eventual future lies.  The speed is for real but, as with most prospects, how the hitting progresses through the higher levels remains to be seen (he did go 6 for 18 with a triple and a homer in 4 AAA games last year so credit for that I guess).

 

THE X-RAYZ RETURN:

LORD KNOWS how the X-Rayz even get involved in something like this, as they basically just hop in out of nowhere and grab RP fucking stud Edwin Diaz.  Diaz was at one time going to try his hand at SP but it turns out he makes for a really really good RP so that is where he shall stay forever, because again he is really really good at it.  Last year over 51.2 major league innings he struck out 88, with an ERA of 2.79 (2.02 FIP, learn about it HERE you simpletons).  Get even nerdier in the ERA estimators game and he posted a Skills Interactive ERA or SIERA (learn about it FUCKING HERE you fucking simpletons) of 1.82.  Which was the fourth best in baseball among pitchers with a minimum of 50 IP (your top 3:  1- Andrew Miller  2- Kenley Jansen  3- Zach Britton).  All of this is to say that Edwin Diaz is very very good and throws the ball very very fast and he will be a likely top 5 fantasy reliever for the foreseeable future.

 

THE SLUGS RETURN:

The Banana Slugs, MUCH LIKE THE MORNING WOOD, made the necessary sacrifices of talent but ended up with some talent of their own, and  young talent at that (so for those counting only 2 out of the 3 teams involved had to give talent to get talent, WEIRD RIGHT?!).  The most MEH of this deal is current Marlins closer AJ Ramos, whom I already wrote about back when I sent him to Odom.  Let’s just copy and paste that back into here:

AJ Ramos saved 40 games last year for the Marlins, while striking out 10.27 batters per 9 and posting a 2.81 ERA.  VERY GOOD NUMBERS, which is why the X-Rayz traded for him and why the closer market may be DEVASTATED by the return the MooniniteZ fetched for the fella.  If there’s one thing to be said about that it is that the closer market is much stronger at the trade deadline, fantasy imitates life.  If there is a second thing to be said about that it is that the Marlins seemingly HATE AJ Ramos and that has to be mentioned in any potential deals here.  The Fish openly courted both Kenley Jansen and Aroldis Chapman all damned offseason, as well as being tied to Raisel Iglesias in trade rumors, and just generally acted like a team that does not at all want AJ Ramos as their closer.  In the end they only ended up with Brad fucking Ziegler, but one still must wonder what kind of leash AJ is working with.  If he is the closer all year he can flirst with 35+ saves again and great K numbers, if he falters early he can be reduced to a holds guy and concede the closer job to Ziegler or BEARCLAW.  

So that covers Ramos, a pretty good closer with a pretty non-ideal leash.  The award for second most MEH in the Slugs return goes to Brewers low minors eligible SP Josh Hader (Brewers #2 prospect BA, #33 overall BA, #38 MLB.com).  Hader  Third most MEH for the Slugs, IMHO, is Rays low minors eligible screwballer Brent Honeywell (Rays #3 prospect BA, #30 overall BA, #31 MLB.com).  Honeywell is getting all sorts of love of lately in the baseball world, on the back of a 2016 that ended with 59.1 innings of 2.28 ERA ball for the Rays AA affiliate.  The important thing to note with him is the screwball isn’t some sort of novelty act, he also features a fastball that can dial up to 97 mph.  How effective the screwball is in the majors remains to be seen, Hector Santiago evidently threw one 31 times last year AND LOOK WHERE THAT GOT HIM.  But Honeywell’s is a better pitch, and he has better pitches setting up that pitch, and there’s a good chance he makes an appearance in the majors in 2017.  And then we can all see how that pitch does.  And nowww we are getting somewhere, with these last two pieces in the Banana Slugs returns puzzle, both of whom I like very much.  First up is Jon Gray, a very good pitcher whose main flaw is probably that he’s pitching for the Colorado Rockies.  Gray struck out a super sexy 9.91 per 9 in 2016, albeit with a 4.67 ERA.  This is another one of those things that keeps happening where you THINK you can guess the reason for someting and end up wrong; in this case, one might assume Coors Field is to blame for Gray’s struggles but he actually posted a better ERA there (4.30 Home ERA, 4.91 Road ERA).  How a pitcher is affected by seeing the way his pitches move at Coors one start and then adjusting to the way they may move on the road in the following start BLAH BLAH that is something that can be analyzed by a man who gives more of a fuck maybe.  For our purposes, we will just say that Gray is a 25 year old pitcher that just pitched to a 3.60 FIP over 168 IP (19th best among pitchers with at least 160 IP) and also struck out 26% of all the batters he faced (11th best under the same minimum).  There is both real talent here and real room for improvement.  Nobody loves owning a Rockies pitcher but Gray could be the one Rox pitcher that rises above the stigma, NOT UNLIKE 2009-2010 UBALDO JIMENEZ (RIP).  Next up and last up is the key piece to this wholeeeeeee thing (I imagine), Braves top prospect Dansby Swanson (#3 overall BA, #4 MLB.com).  Above all else this is the guy that made the Slugs make the move, and it’s hard to fault them really.  The Diamondbacks are idiots and so they traded Swanson for fucking Shelby Miller, but that shouldn’t be held against the young shortstop.  Quite frankly Swanson hasn’t seen much experience, and if one were to simply look at his minors performance thus far one wouldn’t get much of an idea for his ceiling.  BUT he was the 2015 first overall pick for a reason, and in 38 games with the Braves last year he very much held his own (.302 AVG, .361 OBP, 7 doubles, 1 triple, 3 HRs, 3 SBs).  Swanson is probably a better “real life” prospect than a fantasy prospect but a future fantasy outlook might resemble IIIIIII dunno, better Brandon Crawford? (Editing note:  I definitely just decided that all future prospect analysis will include name-dropping some other player as a comp)  The power profile seems to look more like 12-15 HRs as opposed to 18-20, steals might approach double digits, OBP should be strong.  He will quite literally lose his minors eligibility after like 1 AB (129 ABs currently) and I am sure the Slugs will be able to squeeze him into their majors roster regardless of that fact.  This is one of the rare times where I trust the pedigree and the rankings with regards to a prospect; Swanson already had his cup of coffee and didn’t at all look intimidated.  Fucking Diamondbacks man….

 

 

SIDE SEAN LIKES MORE MOST:

THE X-RAYZ.  Then the Slugs then the Morning Wood.  I originally had the Slugs in dead last, hence the MEH-filled review and the discussion of them being tagteamed earlier, but ugh I just hate Greinke….. and Swanson is very likely the special-est of all the prospects changing hands here, and I love me some Jon Gray.  But yea IRRELEVENT because the X-Rayz waltzed into this deal and essentially ended up with Edwin Diaz for AJ Ramos plus Ender Inciarte.  Which would be a weird valuation for Diaz even if you really really really like AJ Ramos.  And nobody should because the Marlins don’t even like him.  The X-Rayz win.

 

 

 

 

timothy-drake-rich-kid-sunglasses
What people named “Dansby” usually look like……

 

 

 

 

Trade Review: FEATURING A DEVIL’S THREE WAY